The Most Important Games for the St. Francis Red Flash are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Flash final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Francis Red Flash fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Francis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Francis (4‑13) vs Central Conn. (9‑6) |
15 | St. Francis Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 10% | ||
| Long Island U. (9‑7) vs Fair. Dickinson (5‑12) |
2 | Long Island U. Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 9% | ||
| New Haven (7‑10) vs Wagner (6‑9) |
1 | New Haven Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Wagner Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Le Moyne (7‑10) vs Chicago St. (2‑14) |
1 | Le Moyne Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Mercyhurst (7‑10) vs Stonehill (5‑12) |
0 | Mercyhurst Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | ||