The Most Important Games for the St. Francis Red Flash are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Flash final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Francis Red Flash fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Francis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Francis (6‑15) vs Mercyhurst (11‑12) |
12 | St. Francis Wins | <1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 33% | 26% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Le Moyne (11‑12) vs Wagner (7‑13) |
0 | Le Moyne Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 31% | 24% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Wagner Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 29% | 22% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Chicago St. (3‑19) vs Central Conn. (11‑10) |
0 | Chicago St. Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 24% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson (7‑16) vs Stonehill (9‑14) |
0 | Fair. Dickinson Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 35% | 21% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Long Island U. (14‑8) vs New Haven (10‑12) |
0 | Long Island U. Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% | ||
| New Haven Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 24% | 10% | 2% | ||