Where are the St. Francis Red Flash going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Francis standings table presents the probabilities of the Red Flash winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Long Island U. | 8i Long Island U. Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Le Moyne 77-83 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Stonehill 66-63 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Le Moyne 83-61 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Central CT 80-59 Thu, Feb 05 vs New Haven Sat, Feb 07 vs Stonehill Thu, Feb 12 @ Wagner Sat, Feb 14 @ New Haven |
1 | 9 | 95% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stonehill | 6 Stonehill Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs LIU 63-66 Won Mon, Jan 26 vs Central CT 61-59 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Fair. Dickinson 58-57 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Le Moyne 65-54 Thu, Feb 05 @ Fair. Dickinson Sat, Feb 07 @ LIU Thu, Feb 12 @ Chicago St. Sat, Feb 14 vs Wagner |
4 | 10 | 1% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Mercyhurst | 6 Mercyhurst Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ New Haven 61-57 Won Sun, Jan 25 vs Chicago St. 61-59 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs New Haven 70-51 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Chicago St. 74-78 Thu, Feb 05 vs Francis Sat, Feb 07 @ Fair. Dickinson Thu, Feb 12 @ Le Moyne Sat, Feb 14 @ Francis |
4 | 10 | 2% | 23% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Le Moyne | 6 Le Moyne Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Wagner 69-67 Won Mon, Jan 26 @ Fair. Dickinson 87-74 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ LIU 61-83 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Stonehill 54-65 Thu, Feb 05 @ Wagner Sat, Feb 07 vs Francis Thu, Feb 12 vs Mercyhurst Sat, Feb 14 vs Chicago St. |
4 | 10 | 1% | 30% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Central Conn. | 5 Central Conn. Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Fair. Dickinson 66-76 Lost Mon, Jan 26 @ Stonehill 59-61 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ Wagner 62-55 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs LIU 59-80 Thu, Feb 05 vs Chicago St. Sat, Feb 07 vs Wagner Thu, Feb 12 @ New Haven Sat, Feb 14 @ Fair. Dickinson |
5 | 10 | <1% | 23% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| St. Francis | 4 St. Francis Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Stonehill 63-61 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Chicago St. 81-60 Thu, Jan 29 @ Chicago St. Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs New Haven 69-81 Thu, Feb 05 @ Mercyhurst Sat, Feb 07 @ Le Moyne Thu, Feb 12 @ Fair. Dickinson Sat, Feb 14 vs Mercyhurst |
4 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% |
| Fair. Dickinson | 4 Fair. Dickinson Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Central CT 76-66 Lost Mon, Jan 26 vs Le Moyne 74-87 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Stonehill 57-58 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Wagner 72-75 Thu, Feb 05 vs Stonehill Sat, Feb 07 vs Mercyhurst Thu, Feb 12 vs Francis Sat, Feb 14 vs Central CT |
6 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 24% | 38% | 17% | 3% |
| Wagner | 2 Wagner Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Fair. Dickinson 61-68 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ Le Moyne 67-69 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Central CT 55-62 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Fair. Dickinson 75-72 Thu, Feb 05 vs Le Moyne Sat, Feb 07 @ Central CT Thu, Feb 12 vs LIU Sat, Feb 14 @ Stonehill |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 50% | 23% |
| Chicago St. | 1 Chicago St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ Francis 60-81 Lost Sun, Jan 25 @ Mercyhurst 59-61 Thu, Jan 29 vs Francis Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Mercyhurst 78-74 Thu, Feb 05 @ Central CT Sat, Feb 07 @ New Haven Thu, Feb 12 vs Stonehill Sat, Feb 14 @ Le Moyne |
8 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 21% | 72% |
| New Haven | 5 New Haven Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Chicago St. 62-56 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Mercyhurst 57-61 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Mercyhurst 51-70 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Francis 81-69 Thu, Feb 05 @ LIU Sat, Feb 07 vs Chicago St. Thu, Feb 12 vs Central CT Sat, Feb 14 vs LIU |
4 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (5)Central Conn. | 5 | 5 | 21% |
| (4)Le Moyne | 6 | 4 | 21% |
| (2)Stonehill | 6 | 4 | 20% |
| (3)Mercyhurst | 6 | 4 | 20% |
| (1)Long Island U. | 8 | 1 | 10% |
| (7)Fair. Dickinson | 4 | 6 | 5% |
| (8)Wagner | 2 | 7 | 1% |
| (9)Chicago St. | 1 | 8 | <1% |
| Elimination | 2% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Le Moyne (11‑12) |
58‑84 | Home | Fri Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Fair. Dickinson (7‑16) |
85‑82 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Wagner (7‑13) |
71‑69 | Away | Thu Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Long Island U. (14‑8) |
63‑67 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Central Conn. (11‑10) |
90‑98 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | Stonehill (9‑14) |
63‑61 | Home | Mon Jan 19, 12:00 pm |
| 12 | Chicago St. (3‑19) |
81‑60 | Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Chicago St. (3‑19) |
Away | Thu Jan 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | New Haven (10‑12) |
69‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Mercyhurst (11‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Le Moyne (11‑12) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 1:00 pm | |
| 15 | Fair. Dickinson (7‑16) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Mercyhurst (11‑12) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Long Island U. (14‑8) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Wagner (7‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Stonehill (9‑14) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Central Conn. (11‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 1:00 pm | |
| Postponed | New Haven (10‑12) |
Away | TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma (11‑11) |
SECSEC | 66‑102 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | TCU (13‑8) |
Big 12Big 12 | 63‑104 | Away | Thu Nov 6 |
| 2 | Mount St. Mary's (9‑14) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 66‑74 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 3 | Lehigh (10‑13) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 62‑79 | Away | Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Belmont (19‑3) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 57‑94 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 1:30 pm |
| 4 | Troy (15‑8) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 64‑74 | Away | Wed Nov 26 |
| 4 | Franciscan University | ‑‑ | 85‑60 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 5 | Xavier (12‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 74‑96 | Away | Mon Dec 1, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Penn State-Shenango | ‑‑ | 100‑41 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Radford (13‑11) |
Big SouthBig South | 56‑89 | Away | Sun Dec 7, 2:30 pm |
| 6 | Temple (13‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 67‑95 | Away | Sun Dec 14, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida (15‑6) |
SECSEC | 61‑102 | Away | Wed Dec 17, 6:30 pm |
| 7 | Robert Morris (14‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 70‑79 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 1:00 pm |