The SE Missouri St. Redhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how SE Missouri St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 10% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 19% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 21% |
|
Best Case Scenario UALR beats Tennessee Tech SE Missouri St. beats Southern Indiana Eastern Illinois beats SIU Edwardsville |
Worst Case Scenario Tennessee Tech beats UALR Southern Indiana beats SE Missouri St. SIU Edwardsville beats Eastern Illinois |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 18 of 18 | 100% | 18 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 18 | 94% | 17 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 18 | 89% | 16 | 2 | 97% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 18 | 83% | 15 | 3 | 84% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 18 | 78% | 14 | 4 | 60% | 36% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 18 | 72% | 13 | 5 | 30% | 51% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 18 | 67% | 12 | 6 | 10% | 40% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 | 7 | 2% | 18% | 42% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 18 | 56% | 10 | 8 | <1% | 4% | 24% | 41% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 18 | 50% | 9 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 27% | 41% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 | 10 | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 31% | 39% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 of 18 | 39% | 7 | 11 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 39% | 15% | 2% |
| 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 40% | 37% | 10% |
| 5 of 18 | 28% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 19% | 49% | 30% |
| 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 37% | 59% |
| 3 of 18 | 17% | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 16% | 84% |
| 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| 1 of 18 | 6% | 1 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 18 | 0% | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |