The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 3 | 33% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 3 | 23% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 4 | 10% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 35% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 23% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 10% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario UALR beats Tennessee Tech Tenn-Martin beats Southern Indiana |
Worst Case Scenario Tennessee Tech beats UALR Southern Indiana beats Tenn-Martin |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 15 | 3 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 14 | 4 | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 13 | 5 | 71% | 27% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 12 | 6 | 29% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 11 | 7 | 3% | 24% | 42% | 26% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 10 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 45% | 32% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 9 | 9 | X | <1% | 2% | 23% | 64% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 8 | 10 | X | X | <1% | 3% | 54% | 36% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 45% | 29% | 7% | 1% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 40% | 32% | 10% |