PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Jan 27 12:00 am

Ohio Valley Basketball - Week 12 of 16

Tenn-Martin What If?

The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tenn-Martin What If?

Next Game - Southern Indiana (13‑9)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 7 3 33% 21% 18% 16% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 6 3 23% 18% 18% 18% 17% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 6 4 10% 16% 21% 22% 24% 5% 1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 35% 22% 18% 15% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 23% 18% 18% 18% 17% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 10% 16% 20% 22% 25% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   UALR beats Tennessee Tech
   Tenn-Martin beats Southern Indiana
Worst Case Scenario
   Tennessee Tech beats UALR
   Southern Indiana beats Tenn-Martin
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
9 of 9 100% 15 3 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 14 4 95% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 9 78% 13 5 71% 27% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 9 67% 12 6 29% 46% 21% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 9 56% 11 7 3% 24% 42% 26% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^
4 of 9 44% 10 8 <1% 3% 20% 45% 32% 1% <1% ^ ^
3 of 9 33% 9 9 X <1% 2% 23% 64% 11% <1% <1% ^
2 of 9 22% 8 10 X X <1% 3% 54% 36% 7% <1% <1%
1 of 9 11% 7 11 X X X <1% 18% 45% 29% 7% 1%
0 of 9 0% 6 12 X X X X 1% 17% 40% 32% 10%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament