PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Dec 8 8:45 am

Ohio Valley Basketball - Week 5 of 17

Tenn-Martin What If?

The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tenn-Martin What If?

Next Game - Tennessee St. (6‑3)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 1 0 17% 17% 14% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2%
Current Standings 0 0 15% 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% 9% 7% 4%
Lose Next Game 0 1 10% 14% 15% 14% 13% 11% 10% 8% 5%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 20% 17% 15% 12% 11% 10% 8% 5% 2%
Current Standings 15% 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% 9% 7% 4%
Worst Case Scenario 10% 14% 14% 13% 12% 12% 10% 9% 5%
Best Case Scenario
   Tenn-Martin beats Tennessee St.
   UALR beats Tennessee Tech
   Eastern Illinois beats SIU Edwardsville
Worst Case Scenario
   Tennessee St. beats Tenn-Martin
   Tennessee Tech beats UALR
   SIU Edwardsville beats Eastern Illinois
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
18 of 18 100% 18 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 18 94% 17 1 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 18 89% 16 2 97% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 18 83% 15 3 84% 15% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 18 78% 14 4 60% 37% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 18 72% 13 5 31% 50% 17% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 18 67% 12 6 10% 42% 38% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
11 of 18 61% 11 7 2% 20% 42% 29% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^
10 of 18 56% 10 8 <1% 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1% <1% ^
9 of 18 50% 9 9 <1% <1% 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% <1% <1%
8 of 18 44% 8 10 X <1% 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 3% <1%
7 of 18 39% 7 11 X X <1% 1% 10% 35% 38% 14% 1%
6 of 18 33% 6 12 X X X <1% 1% 14% 41% 36% 8%
5 of 18 28% 5 13 X X X X <1% 2% 22% 49% 27%
4 of 18 22% 4 14 X X X X <1% <1% 5% 40% 55%
3 of 18 17% 3 15 X X X X X <1% <1% 18% 82%
2 of 18 11% 2 16 X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
1 of 18 6% 1 17 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 18 0% 0 18 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament