The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 17% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 5% |
|
Best Case Scenario Tenn-Martin beats Tennessee St. UALR beats Tennessee Tech Eastern Illinois beats SIU Edwardsville |
Worst Case Scenario Tennessee St. beats Tenn-Martin Tennessee Tech beats UALR SIU Edwardsville beats Eastern Illinois |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 18 of 18 | 100% | 18 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 18 | 94% | 17 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 18 | 89% | 16 | 2 | 97% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 18 | 83% | 15 | 3 | 84% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 18 | 78% | 14 | 4 | 60% | 37% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 18 | 72% | 13 | 5 | 31% | 50% | 17% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 18 | 67% | 12 | 6 | 10% | 42% | 38% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 | 7 | 2% | 20% | 42% | 29% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 18 | 56% | 10 | 8 | <1% | 5% | 25% | 41% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 18 | 50% | 9 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 40% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 | 10 | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 40% | 17% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 of 18 | 39% | 7 | 11 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 14% | 1% |
| 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 41% | 36% | 8% |
| 5 of 18 | 28% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 22% | 49% | 27% |
| 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 40% | 55% |
| 3 of 18 | 17% | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 18% | 82% |
| 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 1 of 18 | 6% | 1 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 18 | 0% | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |