The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 6 | 2% | 13% | 37% | 33% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 12 | 6 | 1% | 10% | 33% | 35% | 18% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 18% | 46% | 27% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 6% | 22% | 28% | 36% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 1% | 10% | 33% | 35% | 18% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 4% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Tennessee Tech beats Lindenwood UALR beats SE Missouri St. Western Illinois beats Morehead St. |
Worst Case Scenario Lindenwood beats Tennessee Tech SE Missouri St. beats UALR Morehead St. beats Western Illinois |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 14 | 6 | 3% | 23% | 62% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 13 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 18% | 56% | 24% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 12 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | 36% | 45% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ |