PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Nov 30 4:00 am

PAC 12 Basketball - Week 4 of 18

California Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

California Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
California Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
California
(2‑5)

vs
Arizona
(6‑0)
1 California Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 14% 21% 31%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Arizona Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 13% 21% 41%
Utah
(4‑2)

vs
Washington St.
(5‑1)
0 Utah Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 9% 13% 20% 41%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Washington St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 13% 20% 41%
Colorado
(5‑2)

vs
Washington
(4‑2)
0 Colorado Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 13% 20% 41%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Washington Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 21% 40%
Arizona St.
(4‑2)

vs
Stanford
(3‑4)
0 Arizona St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Stanford Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 12% 19% 42%
UCLA
(4‑1)

vs
Oregon St.
(3‑3)
0 UCLA Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 12% 20% 41%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Oregon St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 12% 19% 42%
USC
(5‑2)

vs
Oregon
(4‑1)
0 USC Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 9% 12% 21% 41%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 13% 20% 40%
Oregon Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 20% 41%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament