The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Oregon (4‑1) vs USC (5‑2) |
8 | Oregon Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| USC Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| California (2‑5) vs Arizona (6‑0) |
1 | California Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Colorado (5‑2) vs Washington (4‑2) |
1 | Colorado Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Washington Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| UCLA (4‑1) vs Oregon St. (3‑3) |
0 | UCLA Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Utah (4‑2) vs Washington St. (5‑1) |
0 | Utah Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Stanford (3‑4) vs Arizona St. (4‑2) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||