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Thu Nov 30 4:00 am

PAC 12 Basketball - Week 4 of 18

Oregon Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Oregon Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Oregon Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oregon
(4‑1)

vs
USC
(5‑2)
8 Oregon Wins 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
USC Wins 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3%
California
(2‑5)

vs
Arizona
(6‑0)
1 California Wins 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Arizona Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Colorado
(5‑2)

vs
Washington
(4‑2)
1 Colorado Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Washington Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
UCLA
(4‑1)

vs
Oregon St.
(3‑3)
0 UCLA Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Oregon St. Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Utah
(4‑2)

vs
Washington St.
(5‑1)
0 Utah Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Washington St. Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Stanford
(3‑4)

vs
Arizona St.
(4‑2)
0 Stanford Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Arizona St. Wins 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% 5% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament