The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Oregon (14‑10) vs USC (17‑6) |
25 | Oregon Wins | 1% | 7% | 30% | 47% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 57% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (14‑11) vs Utah (16‑9) |
8 | Colorado Wins | <1% | 4% | 16% | 54% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah Wins | 1% | 4% | 15% | 48% | 21% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (10‑13) vs Arizona St. (16‑8) |
5 | Stanford Wins | 1% | 4% | 16% | 54% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | <1% | 4% | 16% | 49% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington St. (10‑15) vs Washington (13‑12) |
1 | Washington St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 16% | 51% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | 1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon St. (9‑15) vs UCLA (19‑4) |
1 | Oregon St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 16% | 49% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | 4% | 16% | 51% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona (21‑3) vs California (3‑20) |
0 | Arizona Wins | 1% | 4% | 16% | 51% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 16% | 50% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | 1% | 6% | 17% | 47% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||