PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 9:30 pm

PAC 12 Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Oregon Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Oregon Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Oregon Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oregon
(14‑10)

vs
USC
(17‑6)
25 Oregon Wins 1% 7% 30% 47% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
USC Wins <1% <1% 3% 57% 25% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado
(14‑11)

vs
Utah
(16‑9)
8 Colorado Wins <1% 4% 16% 54% 16% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Wins 1% 4% 15% 48% 21% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stanford
(10‑13)

vs
Arizona St.
(16‑8)
5 Stanford Wins 1% 4% 16% 54% 16% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. Wins <1% 4% 16% 49% 20% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington St.
(10‑15)

vs
Washington
(13‑12)
1 Washington St. Wins 1% 4% 16% 51% 20% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins 1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon St.
(9‑15)

vs
UCLA
(19‑4)
1 Oregon St. Wins 1% 6% 16% 49% 18% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA Wins <1% 4% 16% 51% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona
(21‑3)

vs
California
(3‑20)
0 Arizona Wins 1% 4% 16% 51% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 16% 50% 19% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
California Wins 1% 6% 17% 47% 19% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament