Where are the Oregon Ducks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Oregon standings table presents the probabilities of the Ducks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| UCLA | 8i UCLA Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Colorado 68-54 Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Arizona St. 74-62 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Arizona 52-58 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ USC 64-77 Thu, Feb 02 vs Washington Sat, Feb 04 vs Washington St. Thu, Feb 09 @ Oregon St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Oregon |
2 | 10 | 52% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Utah | 8 Utah Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ USC 56-71 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs Washington St. 77-63 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Washington 86-61 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Oregon St. 63-44 Sat, Jan 28 @ Oregon Thu, Feb 02 vs Stanford Sun, Feb 05 vs California Sat, Feb 11 vs Colorado |
3 | 11 | 4% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona | 7 Arizona Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ Oregon 68-87 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs USC 81-66 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs UCLA 58-52 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Washington St. 63-58 Sat, Jan 28 @ Washington Thu, Feb 02 vs Oregon Sat, Feb 04 vs Oregon St. Thu, Feb 09 @ California |
3 | 10 | 30% | 31% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| USC | 7 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Utah 71-56 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Arizona 66-81 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Arizona St. 77-69 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs UCLA 77-64 Thu, Feb 02 vs Washington St. Sat, Feb 04 vs Washington Thu, Feb 09 @ Oregon Sat, Feb 11 @ Oregon St. |
3 | 10 | 10% | 22% | 29% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona St. | 6 Arizona St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 @ Oregon St. 74-69 Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs UCLA 62-74 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs USC 69-77 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Washington 66-69 Sat, Jan 28 @ Washington St. Thu, Feb 02 vs Oregon St. Sat, Feb 04 vs Oregon Thu, Feb 09 @ Stanford |
4 | 10 | 2% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon | 6 Oregon Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Arizona 87-68 Won Wed, Jan 18 @ California 87-58 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Stanford 64-71 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Colorado 75-69 Sat, Jan 28 vs Utah Thu, Feb 02 @ Arizona Sat, Feb 04 @ Arizona St. Thu, Feb 09 vs USC |
4 | 10 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington | 5 Washington Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs California 81-78 Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Colorado 75-72 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Utah 61-86 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Arizona St. 69-66 Sat, Jan 28 vs Arizona Thu, Feb 02 @ UCLA Sat, Feb 04 @ USC Sat, Feb 11 @ Washington St. |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 24% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Colorado | 4 Colorado Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ UCLA 54-68 Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs Washington 72-75 Won Sun, Jan 22 vs Washington St. 58-55 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Oregon 69-75 Sat, Jan 28 @ Oregon St. Thu, Feb 02 vs California Sun, Feb 05 vs Stanford Sat, Feb 11 @ Utah |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 39% | 27% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Washington St. | 4 Washington St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Stanford 60-59 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Utah 63-77 Lost Sun, Jan 22 @ Colorado 55-58 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Arizona 58-63 Sat, Jan 28 vs Arizona St. Thu, Feb 02 @ USC Sat, Feb 04 @ UCLA Sat, Feb 11 vs Washington |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 38% | 13% | 4% | <1% |
| California | 2 California Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 11 @ Washington St. 51-66 Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ Washington 78-81 Lost Wed, Jan 18 vs Oregon 58-87 Lost Sun, Jan 22 vs Oregon St. 48-68 Sat, Jan 28 @ Stanford Thu, Feb 02 @ Colorado Sun, Feb 05 @ Utah Thu, Feb 09 vs Arizona |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 66% |
| Stanford | 2 Stanford Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ Washington St. 59-60 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs Oregon St. 67-46 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Oregon 71-64 Won Wed, Jan 25 vs Chicago State 72-65 Sat, Jan 28 vs California Thu, Feb 02 @ Utah Sun, Feb 05 @ Colorado Thu, Feb 09 vs Arizona St. |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 39% | 28% | 16% |
| Oregon St. | 2 Oregon St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 vs Arizona St. 69-74 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Stanford 46-67 Won Sun, Jan 22 @ California 68-48 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Utah 44-63 Sat, Jan 28 vs Colorado Thu, Feb 02 @ Arizona St. Sat, Feb 04 @ Arizona Thu, Feb 09 vs UCLA |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 28% | 42% | 17% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 24% | ||
| (12)Oregon St. | 2 | 8 | 20% |
| (10)California | 2 | 7 | 19% |
| (11)Stanford | 2 | 7 | 18% |
| (9)Washington St. | 4 | 7 | 9% |
| (8)Colorado | 4 | 7 | 7% |
| (7)Washington | 5 | 6 | 2% |
| (5)Arizona St. | 6 | 4 | <1% |
| (2)Utah | 8 | 3 | <1% |
| (4)USC | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| (3)Arizona | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)UCLA | 8 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Washington St. (9‑11) |
74‑60 | Home | Thu Dec 1 |
| 4 | UCLA (17‑4) |
56‑65 | Away | Sun Dec 4 |
| 8 | Oregon St. (8‑13) |
77‑68 | Home | Sat Dec 31, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Colorado (11‑10) |
41‑68 | Away | Thu Jan 5, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | Utah (15‑7) |
70‑60 | Away | Sat Jan 7, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Arizona St. (15‑5) |
73‑90 | Home | Thu Jan 12, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | Arizona (18‑3) |
87‑68 | Home | Sat Jan 14, 6:00 pm |
| 11 | California (2‑17) |
87‑58 | Away | Wed Jan 18, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Stanford (8‑12) |
64‑71 | Away | Sat Jan 21, 11:00 pm |
| 12 | Colorado (11‑10) |
75‑69 | Home | Thu Jan 26, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Utah (15‑7) |
Home | Sat Jan 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Arizona (18‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 2, 10:30 pm | |
| 13 | Arizona St. (15‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 4, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | USC (15‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 9, 11:00 pm | |
| 14 | UCLA (17‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 11, TBD | |
| 15 | Washington (13‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 15, 11:00 pm | |
| 15 | Washington St. (9‑11) |
Away | Sun Feb 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Oregon St. (8‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 25, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | California (2‑17) |
Home | Thu Mar 2, 11:00 pm | |
| 17 | Stanford (8‑12) |
Home | Sat Mar 4, 4:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida A&M (3‑14) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 80‑45 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | UC Irvine (13‑7) |
Big WestBig West | 56‑69 | Home | Fri Nov 11 |
| 2 | Montana St. (14‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 81‑51 | Home | Tue Nov 15 |
| 2 | Houston (19‑2) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 56‑66 | Home | Sun Nov 20 |
| 3 | UConn (16‑6) |
Big EastBig East | 59‑83 | Home | Thu Nov 24 |
| 3 | Michigan St. (14‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 70‑74 | Away | Fri Nov 25 |
| 3 | Villanova (10‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 74‑67 | Home | Sun Nov 27 |
| 5 | Nevada (16‑5) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 78‑65 | Home | Sat Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | UC Riverside (14‑7) |
Big WestBig West | 71‑65 | Home | Wed Dec 14, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Portland (11‑12) |
West CoastWest Coast | 78‑56 | Home | Sat Dec 17, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Utah Valley (15‑6) |
WACWAC | 72‑77 | Home | Tue Dec 20, 10:30 pm |