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Sun Feb 25 2:30 am

PAC 12 Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Oregon Ducks Standings

Where are the Oregon Ducks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Oregon standings table presents the probabilities of the Ducks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

PAC 12 Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arizona 12i
Arizona Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 10 @  Colorado        99-79 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Arizona St.    105-60 
Lost Thu, Feb 22 vs Washington St.  74-77 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Washington      91-75 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  Arizona St.    
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Oregon         
     Thu, Mar 07 @  UCLA           
     Sat, Mar 09 @  USC            

4 16 57% 37% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Washington St. 12
Washington St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 15 vs California      84-65 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Stanford        72-59 
Won  Thu, Feb 22 @  Arizona         77-74 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Arizona St.     61-73 
     Thu, Feb 29 vs USC            
     Sat, Mar 02 vs UCLA           
     Thu, Mar 07 vs Washington     

5 17 42% 55% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Oregon 10
Oregon Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 10 vs Washington St.  56-62 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 @  Oregon St.      60-58 
Won  Thu, Feb 22 @  Stanford        78-65 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  California      64-69 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs Oregon St.     
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Arizona        
     Thu, Mar 07 vs Colorado       
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Utah           

6 16 1% 7% 45% 31% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
UCLA 9
UCLA Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 10 @  California      61-60 
Won  Thu, Feb 15 vs Colorado        64-60 
Lost Sun, Feb 18 vs Utah            69-70 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 vs USC             56-62 
     Thu, Feb 29 @  Washington     
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Washington St. 
     Thu, Mar 07 vs Arizona        
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Arizona St.    

7 16 <1% 1% 6% 15% 21% 19% 15% 13% 9% 2% <1% ^
Colorado 9
Colorado Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 10 vs Arizona         79-99 
Lost Thu, Feb 15 @  UCLA            60-64 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 @  USC             92-89 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Utah            89-65 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs California     
     Sun, Mar 03 vs Stanford       
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Oregon         
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Oregon St.     

7 16 <1% 1% 37% 30% 17% 9% 5% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
California 9
California Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 15 @  Washington St.  65-84 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 @  Washington      82-80 
Won  Thu, Feb 22 vs Oregon St.      81-73 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Oregon          69-64 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  Colorado       
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Utah           
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Stanford       

8 17 X <1% 3% 12% 17% 21% 20% 17% 9% 2% <1% ^
Arizona St. 8
Arizona St. Recent Games

Won  Wed, Feb 14 vs Oregon St.      79-61 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Arizona         60-105
Lost Thu, Feb 22 vs Washington      82-84 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Washington St.  73-61 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs Arizona        
     Thu, Mar 07 @  USC            
     Sat, Mar 09 @  UCLA           

9 17 X X <1% 3% 15% 17% 20% 20% 16% 8% 1% ^
Utah 7
Utah Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 10 vs Arizona St.     77-85 
Lost Thu, Feb 15 @  USC             64-68 
Won  Sun, Feb 18 @  UCLA            70-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Colorado        65-89 
     Thu, Feb 29 vs Stanford       
     Sat, Mar 02 vs California     
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Oregon St.     
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Oregon         

9 16 X X 1% 9% 14% 19% 17% 17% 12% 10% 1% <1%
Stanford 7
Stanford Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 15 @  Washington      65-85 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Washington St.  59-72 
Lost Thu, Feb 22 vs Oregon          65-78 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 vs Oregon St.      73-85 
     Thu, Feb 29 @  Utah           
     Sun, Mar 03 @  Colorado       
     Thu, Mar 07 vs California     

10 17 X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 11% 25% 44% 5% <1%
Washington 7
Washington Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 15 vs Stanford        85-65 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 vs California      80-82 
Won  Thu, Feb 22 @  Arizona St.     84-82 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Arizona         75-91 
     Thu, Feb 29 vs UCLA           
     Sat, Mar 02 vs USC            
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Washington St. 

10 17 X X X <1% 3% 7% 14% 18% 23% 26% 8% ^
USC 5
USC Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 10 @  Stanford        68-99 
Won  Thu, Feb 15 vs Utah            68-64 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 vs Colorado        89-92 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 @  UCLA            62-56 
     Thu, Feb 29 @  Washington St. 
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Washington     
     Thu, Mar 07 vs Arizona St.    
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Arizona        

11 16 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 61% 26%
Oregon St. 4
Oregon St. Recent Games

Lost Wed, Feb 14 @  Arizona St.     61-79 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 vs Oregon          58-60 
Lost Thu, Feb 22 @  California      73-81 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 @  Stanford        85-73 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  Oregon         
     Thu, Mar 07 vs Utah           
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Colorado       

13 17 X X X X X X X X X 1% 25% 74%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(3) Ducks 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 83%
(12)Oregon St. 4 13 10%
(11)USC 5 11 6%
(9)Stanford 7 10 1%
(10)Washington 7 10 1%
(7)Arizona St. 8 9 <1%
(8)Utah 7 9 <1%
(6)California 9 8 <1%
(4)UCLA 9 7 <1%
(5)Colorado 9 7 <1%
(1)Arizona 12 4 X
(2)Washington St. 12 5 X
Elimination X



Ducks Conference Schedule
Current Week 17
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 USC
(11‑16)
82‑74 Home Thu Dec 28, 9:00 pm
8 UCLA
(14‑12)
64‑59 Home Sat Dec 30, 4:00 pm
9 Washington
(15‑13)
76‑74 Away Thu Jan 4, 9:00 pm
9 Washington St.
(21‑7)
89‑84 Away Sat Jan 6, 10:00 pm
10 California
(13‑15)
80‑73 Home Sat Jan 13, 8:00 pm
11 Colorado
(18‑9)
70‑86 Away Thu Jan 18, 10:30 pm
11 Utah
(16‑11)
77‑80 Away Sun Jan 21, 3:00 pm
12 Arizona St.
(14‑14)
80‑61 Home Thu Jan 25, 9:00 pm
12 Arizona
(21‑6)
78‑87 Home Sat Jan 27, 5:30 pm
13 USC
(11‑16)
78‑69 Away Thu Feb 1, 10:30 pm
13 UCLA
(14‑12)
63‑71 Away Sat Feb 3, 3:00 am
14 Washington
(15‑13)
85‑80 Home Thu Feb 8, 10:00 pm
14 Washington St.
(21‑7)
56‑62 Home Sat Feb 10, 5:00 pm
15 Oregon St.
(12‑16)
60‑58 Away Sat Feb 17, 10:00 pm
16 Stanford
(12‑15)
78‑65 Away Thu Feb 22, 11:00 pm
16 California
(13‑15)
64‑69 Away Sat Feb 24, 7:00 pm
17 Oregon St.
(12‑16)
  Home Wed Feb 28, 11:00 pm
17 Arizona
(21‑6)
  Away Sat Mar 2, 2:00 pm
18 Colorado
(18‑9)
  Home Thu Mar 7, TBD
18 Utah
(16‑11)
  Home Sat Mar 9, 7:00 pm


Ducks Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Georgia
(15‑12)
SECSEC 82‑71 Home Mon Nov 6, 4:30 pm
1 Montana
(19‑9)
Big SkyBig Sky 75‑61 Home Fri Nov 10, 9:00 pm
2 Tennessee St.
(17‑12)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 92‑67 Home Fri Nov 17, 9:00 pm
3 Florida A&M
(5‑20)
SouthwesternSWAC 67‑54 Away Mon Nov 20, 8:00 pm
3 Santa Clara
(18‑11)
West CoastWest Coast 82‑88 Home Fri Nov 24, 9:30 pm
4 Michigan
(8‑19)
Big 10Big 10 86‑83 Home Sat Dec 2, 3:30 pm
5 UTEP
(13‑15)
Conference USAConf. USA 71‑49 Home Sat Dec 9, 9:00 pm
6 California Baptist
(14‑13)
WACWAC 76‑55 Home Tue Dec 12, 10:00 pm
6 Syracuse
(18‑10)
ACCACC 63‑83 Home Sun Dec 17, 1:00 pm
7 Kent State
(12‑17)
MACMAC 84‑70 Home Thu Dec 21, 9:00 pm