The Most Important Games for the Ole Miss Rebels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rebels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ole Miss Rebels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ole Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Ole Miss (11‑14) vs Texas A&M (17‑8) |
0 | Ole Miss Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 26% | 21% | ||
| LSU (14‑11) vs Texas (15‑9) |
0 | LSU Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Texas Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Vanderbilt (20‑4) vs Missouri (17‑8) |
0 | Vanderbilt Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Missouri Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Tennessee (18‑7) vs Oklahoma (13‑12) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 27% | 19% | ||
| Arkansas (19‑6) vs Alabama (17‑7) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Alabama Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| South Carolina (11‑14) vs Florida (19‑6) |
0 | South Carolina Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Florida Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 18% | ||
| Kentucky (17‑8) vs Georgia (17‑8) |
0 | Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Georgia Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (12‑13) vs Auburn (14‑11) |
0 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Auburn Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 23% | 22% | 18% | ||