The Most Important Games for the Texas Longhorns are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Longhorns final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Longhorns fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Texas (10‑7) vs Kentucky (12‑6) |
24 | Texas Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Arkansas (13‑5) vs Vanderbilt (15‑2) |
1 | Arkansas Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Georgia (15‑3) vs Missouri (13‑5) |
1 | Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Missouri Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Oklahoma (11‑7) vs South Carolina (10‑8) |
1 | Oklahoma Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| South Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Tennessee (12‑6) vs Alabama (12‑5) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Ole Miss (11‑7) vs Auburn (11‑7) |
0 | Ole Miss Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Auburn Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| LSU (13‑5) vs Florida (13‑5) |
0 | LSU Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Florida Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Texas A&M (14‑4) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (10‑8) |
0 | Texas A&M Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||