The Most Important Games for the Vanderbilt Commodores are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commodores final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Vanderbilt Commodores fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Vanderbilt Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Vanderbilt (21‑7) vs Ole Miss (12‑17) |
46 | Vanderbilt Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 25% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 17% | 29% | 38% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (15‑14) vs Missouri (20‑9) |
12 | Oklahoma Wins | X | X | X | 7% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 25% | 16% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri Wins | X | X | X | X | 12% | 23% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky (19‑10) vs Texas A&M (19‑10) |
11 | Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 23% | 21% | 38% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 24% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Carolina (12‑17) vs Tennessee (20‑9) |
5 | South Carolina Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 16% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alabama (21‑7) vs Georgia (20‑9) |
4 | Alabama Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 28% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (21‑8) vs Texas (17‑11) |
3 | Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 11% | 23% | 38% | 16% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida (23‑6) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (13‑16) |
0 | Florida Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn (15‑14) vs LSU (15‑14) |
0 | Auburn Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||