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Mon Sep 15 7:30 pm

Serie A - Week 5 of 40

Atalanta What If?

The Atalanta What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atalanta What If?

Next Game - Torino (1‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 0 2 8 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 8%
Current Standings 1 0 2 5 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 12%
Lose Next Game 1 1 2 5 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 15%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 8%
Current Standings 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 12%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 15%
Best Case Scenario
   Atalanta beats Torino
 Worst Case Scenario
   Torino beats Atalanta
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
35 of 35 100% 36 0 2 110 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 35 86% 31 5 2 95 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 35 71% 26 10 2 80 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 35 66% 24 12 2 74 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 35 63% 23 13 2 71 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 35 60% 22 14 2 68 62% 32% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 35 57% 21 15 2 65 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 35 54% 20 16 2 62 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 35 51% 19 17 2 59 <1% 3% 12% 25% 30% 20% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 35 49% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 20% 29% 24% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 35 46% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 22% 29% 22% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 35 43% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 23% 28% 22% 10% 2% <1% <1%
14 of 35 40% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 28% 28% 16% 6%
13 of 35 37% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15% 30% 51%
12 of 35 34% 13 23 2 41 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
10 of 35 29% 11 25 2 35 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 35 14% 6 30 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 35 0% 1 35 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round