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Mon Sep 16 4:45 pm

Serie A - Week 6 of 41

Atalanta What If?

The Atalanta What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atalanta What If?

Next Game - Como (0‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 2 0 9 5% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 4%
Current Standings 2 2 0 6 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Lose Next Game 2 3 0 6 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 5%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Current Standings 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5%
Best Case Scenario
   AS Roma beats Udinese
Worst Case Scenario
   Udinese beats AS Roma
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 36 2 0 108 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 34 91% 33 5 0 99 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 32 6 0 96 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 31 7 0 93 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 30 8 0 90 51% 41% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 29 9 0 87 33% 47% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 28 10 0 84 17% 44% 31% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 27 11 0 81 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 26 12 0 78 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 25 13 0 75 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 24 14 0 72 <1% 2% 12% 30% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 23 15 0 69 <1% <1% 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 22 16 0 66 <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 21 17 0 63 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 22% 33% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 20 18 0 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 32% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 32% 21% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 26% 32% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 26% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 26% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 34 35% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% <1% <1%
11 of 34 32% 13 25 0 39 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% <1%
10 of 34 29% 12 26 0 36 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
9 of 34 26% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 38% 29% 10%
8 of 34 24% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 40% 29%
7 of 34 21% 9 29 0 27 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 32% 57%
6 of 34 18% 8 30 0 24 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 82%
5 of 34 15% 7 31 0 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
0 of 34 0% 2 36 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round