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Sun Oct 6 11:15 am

Serie A - Week 8 of 41

Bologna What If?

The Bologna What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bologna What If?

Next Game - Genoa (1‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 1 5 11 <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 8%
Current Standings 1 1 5 8 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 11%
Lose Next Game 1 2 5 8 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 14%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 11%
Current Standings <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 11%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 11%
Best Case Scenario
   AS Roma beats Monza
Worst Case Scenario
   Monza beats AS Roma
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 32 1 5 101 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 31 2 5 98 98% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 30 3 5 95 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 29 4 5 92 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 28 5 5 89 71% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 27 6 5 86 52% 40% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 26 7 5 83 32% 47% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 25 8 5 80 16% 43% 32% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 24 9 5 77 6% 28% 40% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 23 10 5 74 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 22 11 5 71 <1% 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 21 12 5 68 <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 20 13 5 65 <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 19 14 5 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 31 55% 18 15 5 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 17 16 5 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 26% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 16 17 5 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 15 18 5 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 17% 32% 29% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 14 19 5 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 13 20 5 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 12 21 5 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1%
10 of 31 32% 11 22 5 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 32% 32% 13% 3%
9 of 31 29% 10 23 5 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 34% 32% 14%
8 of 31 26% 9 24 5 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 37% 40%
7 of 31 23% 8 25 5 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 23% 72%
6 of 31 19% 7 26 5 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
5 of 31 16% 6 27 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 31 0% 1 32 5 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round