The Bologna What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
Current Standings | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
Best Case Scenario AS Roma beats Monza |
Worst Case Scenario Monza beats AS Roma |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
31 of 31 | 100% | 32 | 1 | 5 | 101 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
30 of 31 | 97% | 31 | 2 | 5 | 98 | 98% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
29 of 31 | 94% | 30 | 3 | 5 | 95 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
28 of 31 | 90% | 29 | 4 | 5 | 92 | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
27 of 31 | 87% | 28 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 71% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 31 | 84% | 27 | 6 | 5 | 86 | 52% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 31 | 81% | 26 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 32% | 47% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 31 | 77% | 25 | 8 | 5 | 80 | 16% | 43% | 32% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 31 | 74% | 24 | 9 | 5 | 77 | 6% | 28% | 40% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 31 | 71% | 23 | 10 | 5 | 74 | 1% | 13% | 33% | 34% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 31 | 68% | 22 | 11 | 5 | 71 | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 31 | 65% | 21 | 12 | 5 | 68 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 31 | 61% | 20 | 13 | 5 | 65 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 33% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
18 of 31 | 58% | 19 | 14 | 5 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
17 of 31 | 55% | 18 | 15 | 5 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 31 | 52% | 17 | 16 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 31 | 48% | 16 | 17 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 31% | 28% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 31 | 45% | 15 | 18 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 32% | 29% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 31 | 42% | 14 | 19 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 31% | 30% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 31 | 39% | 13 | 20 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 31% | 31% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 31 | 35% | 12 | 21 | 5 | 41 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 31% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
10 of 31 | 32% | 11 | 22 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 32% | 32% | 13% | 3% |
9 of 31 | 29% | 10 | 23 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 34% | 32% | 14% |
8 of 31 | 26% | 9 | 24 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 37% | 40% |
7 of 31 | 23% | 8 | 25 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 72% |
6 of 31 | 19% | 7 | 26 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
5 of 31 | 16% | 6 | 27 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
0 of 31 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 5 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |