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Sun Oct 5 5:15 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 40

Cremonese What If?

The Cremonese What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cremonese What If?

Next Game - Udinese (2‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 1 3 12 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 2 1 3 9 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3%
Lose Next Game 2 2 3 9 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3% 3% 4%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Current Standings 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3%
Best Case Scenario
   Fiorentina beats AC Milan
 Worst Case Scenario
   AC Milan beats Fiorentina
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 34 1 3 105 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 32 3 3 99 96% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 32 91% 31 4 3 96 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 30 5 3 93 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 29 6 3 90 64% 32% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 28 7 3 87 46% 43% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 27 8 3 84 27% 47% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 26 9 3 81 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 25 10 3 78 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 24 11 3 75 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 23 12 3 72 <1% 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 22 13 3 69 <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 32 53% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 32 50% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 13 22 3 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% 1% <1%
10 of 32 31% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% <1%
9 of 32 28% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4%
8 of 32 25% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 19%
7 of 32 22% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 34% 50%
6 of 32 19% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 80%
5 of 32 16% 7 28 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
0 of 32 0% 2 33 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round