PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Oct 3 5:00 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 43

Fiorentina What If?

The Fiorentina What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fiorentina What If?

Next Game - Lazio (5‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 3 3 12 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 2 3 3 9 <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Lose Next Game 2 4 3 9 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Juventus beats AC Milan
   Lecce beats AS Roma
Worst Case Scenario
   AC Milan beats Juventus
   AS Roma beats Lecce
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
30 of 30 100% 32 3 3 99 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 30 97% 31 4 3 96 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 30 5 3 93 71% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 29 6 3 90 52% 41% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 28 7 3 87 31% 48% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 27 8 3 84 15% 43% 33% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 26 9 3 81 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 25 10 3 78 1% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 24 11 3 75 <1% 5% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 23 12 3 72 <1% 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 22 13 3 69 <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 30 57% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 30 53% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 14 21 3 45 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 30 37% 13 22 3 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1%
10 of 30 33% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1%
9 of 30 30% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
8 of 30 27% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 33% 33% 16%
7 of 30 23% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 36% 44%
6 of 30 20% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 76%
5 of 30 17% 7 28 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
0 of 30 0% 2 33 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers