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Sun Sep 18 5:30 pm

Serie A - Week 7 of 43

Internazionale What If?

The Internazionale What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Internazionale What If?

Next Game - AS Roma (4‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 6#
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 5 3 0 15 5% 8% 10% 11% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 4 3 0 12 4% 7% 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 4 4 0 12 3% 6% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 6#
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 4% 7% 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Torino beats Napoli
   Internazionale beats AS Roma
   Fiorentina beats Atalanta
 Worst Case Scenario
   Napoli beats Torino
   AS Roma beats Internazionale
   Atalanta beats Fiorentina
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 6#
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 35 3 0 105 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 34 4 0 102 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 33 5 0 99 95% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 32 6 0 96 86% 13% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 31 7 0 93 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 30 8 0 90 53% 40% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 29 9 0 87 34% 47% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 28 10 0 84 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 27 11 0 81 8% 33% 39% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 26 12 0 78 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 25 13 0 75 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 24 14 0 72 <1% 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 23 15 0 69 <1% 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 22 16 0 66 <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 21 17 0 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 31 52% 20 18 0 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 31 48% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 32% 27% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 29% 31% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 31 32% 14 24 0 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1%
9 of 31 29% 13 25 0 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
8 of 31 26% 12 26 0 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 7%
7 of 31 23% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 27%
6 of 31 19% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 60%
5 of 31 16% 9 29 0 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 86%
0 of 31 0% 4 34 0 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers