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Sun Oct 6 5:00 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 41

Monza What If?

The Monza What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Monza What If?

Next Game - Hellas Verona (3‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 3 4 7 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 22%
Current Standings 0 3 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 27%
Lose Next Game 0 4 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 29%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 27%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 27%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 11% 27%
Best Case Scenario
   Atalanta beats Venezia
 Worst Case Scenario
   Venezia beats Atalanta
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 31 3 4 97 97% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 30 4 4 94 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 29 5 4 91 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 28 6 4 88 71% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 27 7 4 85 52% 40% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 26 8 4 82 33% 47% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 25 9 4 79 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 24 10 4 76 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 23 11 4 73 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 22 12 4 70 <1% 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 21 13 4 67 <1% 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 20 14 4 64 <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 19 15 4 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 31 58% 18 16 4 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 29% 29% 15% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 17 17 4 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 16 18 4 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 15 19 4 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 14 20 4 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 13 21 4 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 12 22 4 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 35% 25% 8% 1%
11 of 31 35% 11 23 4 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7%
10 of 31 32% 10 24 4 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 38% 26%
9 of 31 29% 9 25 4 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 33% 56%
8 of 31 26% 8 26 4 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 83%
5 of 31 16% 5 29 4 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 0 34 4 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round