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Sat Aug 29 2:00 pm

Serie A - Week 2 of 41

Monza What If?

The Monza What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Monza What If?

Next Game - Udinese (0‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 1 0 3 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Current Standings 0 1 0 0 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 18%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 0 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 23%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Current Standings 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 18%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 23%
Best Case Scenario
   Monza beats Udinese
 Worst Case Scenario
   Udinese beats Monza
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
37 of 37 100% 37 1 0 111 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 37 95% 35 3 0 105 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 37 81% 30 8 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 37 68% 25 13 0 75 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 37 65% 24 14 0 72 88% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 37 62% 23 15 0 69 69% 27% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 37 59% 22 16 0 66 40% 41% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 37 57% 21 17 0 63 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 37 54% 20 18 0 60 1% 6% 19% 31% 25% 13% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 37 51% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 28% 27% 16% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 37 49% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 19% 29% 24% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 37 46% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 21% 28% 25% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 37 43% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 23% 30% 21% 9% 2%
15 of 37 41% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 22% 32% 36%
14 of 37 38% 14 24 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
10 of 37 27% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 37 14% 5 33 0 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 37 0% 0 38 0 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round