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Sun Oct 6 5:00 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 41

Napoli What If?

The Napoli What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Napoli What If?

Next Game - Empoli (2‑1‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 6 1 1 19 33% 20% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 5 1 1 16 30% 19% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 5 2 1 16 25% 18% 14% 11% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 33% 20% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 30% 19% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 25% 18% 14% 11% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Napoli beats Empoli
 Worst Case Scenario
   Empoli beats Napoli
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 36 1 1 109 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 35 2 1 106 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 30 7 1 91 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 29 8 1 88 75% 24% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 28 9 1 85 57% 37% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 27 10 1 82 37% 46% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 26 11 1 79 19% 45% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 25 12 1 76 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 24 13 1 73 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 23 14 1 70 <1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 22 15 1 67 <1% 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
16 of 31 52% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
15 of 31 48% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
14 of 31 45% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16% 30% 29% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 31 32% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1%
9 of 31 29% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 24% 34% 23% 7% 1% <1%
8 of 31 26% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 23% 8% 1%
7 of 31 23% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7%
6 of 31 19% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 36% 27%
5 of 31 16% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 31% 58%
4 of 31 13% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
0 of 31 0% 5 32 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round