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Sun Oct 5 5:15 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 40

Pisa What If?

The Pisa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pisa What If?

Next Game - Hellas Verona (0‑3‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 4 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 40%
Current Standings 0 4 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 44%
Lose Next Game 0 5 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 50%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 40%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 44%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 50%
Best Case Scenario
   Pisa beats Hellas Verona
 Worst Case Scenario
   Hellas Verona beats Pisa
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 32 4 2 98 98% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 32 97% 31 5 2 95 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 30 6 2 92 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 32 91% 29 7 2 89 66% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 28 8 2 86 47% 42% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 27 9 2 83 28% 46% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 26 10 2 80 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 25 11 2 77 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 24 12 2 74 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 23 13 2 71 <1% 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 32% 28% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 32% 27% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 32 59% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 32 56% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 32 53% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 32 50% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 13 23 2 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1%
12 of 32 38% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
11 of 32 34% 11 25 2 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9%
10 of 32 31% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 37% 32%
9 of 32 28% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 63%
8 of 32 25% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
5 of 32 16% 5 31 2 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 0 36 2 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round