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Sun Oct 6 11:15 am

Serie A - Week 8 of 41

Udinese What If?

The Udinese What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Udinese What If?

Next Game - AC Milan (3‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 5 2 1 16 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Current Standings 4 2 1 13 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 5%
Lose Next Game 4 3 1 13 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Current Standings 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 5%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 35 2 1 106 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 34 3 1 103 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 31 6 1 94 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 30 7 1 91 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 29 8 1 88 65% 31% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 28 9 1 85 45% 43% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 27 10 1 82 26% 46% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 26 11 1 79 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 25 12 1 76 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 24 13 1 73 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 23 14 1 70 <1% 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 31 52% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16% 31% 29% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 31 48% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 30% 31% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 31 32% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% 1% <1%
9 of 31 29% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
8 of 31 26% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5%
7 of 31 23% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 30% 36% 21%
6 of 31 19% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 34% 51%
5 of 31 16% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 80%
4 of 31 13% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
0 of 31 0% 4 33 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round