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Sun Oct 6 5:00 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 41

Venezia What If?

The Venezia What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Venezia What If?

Next Game - Atalanta (3‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 5 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 38%
Current Standings 1 5 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 43%
Lose Next Game 1 6 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 12% 47%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 38%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 43%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 12% 47%
Best Case Scenario
   Venezia beats Atalanta
 Worst Case Scenario
   Atalanta beats Venezia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 32 5 1 97 99% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 31 6 1 94 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 30 7 1 91 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 29 8 1 88 74% 24% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 28 9 1 85 56% 37% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 27 10 1 82 35% 45% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 26 11 1 79 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 25 12 1 76 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 24 13 1 73 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 23 14 1 70 <1% 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 22 15 1 67 <1% 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 31 58% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16% 30% 29% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 31% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 24% 33% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
11 of 31 35% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9%
10 of 31 32% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 39% 29%
9 of 31 29% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 60%
8 of 31 26% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 85%
5 of 31 16% 6 31 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 1 36 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round