The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Mercer (0‑0) vs Wofford (0‑0) |
7 | Mercer Wins | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Wofford Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | ||
| VMI (0‑0) vs N.C. Greensboro (0‑0) |
1 | VMI Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (0‑0) vs Samford (0‑0) |
0 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Samford Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Western Carolina (0‑0) vs Citadel (0‑0) |
0 | Western Carolina Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||