The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (8‑6) vs E. Tennessee St. (9‑5) |
8 | Mercer Wins | 12% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | 5% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Furman (10‑4) vs Western Carolina (4‑8) |
2 | Furman Wins | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Samford (8‑6) vs N.C. Greensboro (5‑9) |
1 | Samford Wins | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | 9% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wofford (9‑4) vs Citadel (3‑11) |
1 | Wofford Wins | 9% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 10% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| VMI (5‑9) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (6‑8) |
0 | VMI Wins | 9% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||