The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (3‑4) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (5‑3) |
10 | Mercer Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | ||
| Samford (7‑2) vs Citadel (4‑3) |
1 | Samford Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Furman (7‑1) vs Western Carolina (2‑4) |
0 | Furman Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (6‑2) vs VMI (4‑5) |
0 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| VMI Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Wofford (3‑5) vs N.C. Greensboro (3‑4) |
0 | Wofford Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||