The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (7‑5) vs Furman (8‑4) |
7 | Mercer Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Furman Wins | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Wofford (7‑4) vs Western Carolina (4‑7) |
1 | Wofford Wins | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro (3‑9) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (5‑7) |
0 | N.C. Greensboro Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Samford (7‑6) vs VMI (5‑7) |
0 | Samford Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| VMI Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (8‑5) vs Citadel (3‑10) |
0 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||