The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (5‑4) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (5‑4) |
10 | Mercer Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Samford (9‑2) vs Citadel (5‑3) |
1 | Samford Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro (5‑4) vs Wofford (4‑6) |
1 | N.C. Greensboro Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Wofford Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Furman (9‑1) vs Western Carolina (3‑5) |
1 | Furman Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (6‑4) vs VMI (5‑6) |
0 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| VMI Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | ||