Where are the Mercer Bears going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Mercer standings table presents the probabilities of the Bears winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Samford | 9i Samford Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 @ Furman 70-72 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Citadel 83-58 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Mercer 100-79 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ E. Tennessee St. 59-66 Wed, Feb 12 vs Chattan. Sat, Feb 15 @ Wofford Wed, Feb 19 vs Furman Sat, Feb 22 vs Western Carolina |
3 | 12 | 40% | 26% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| N.C. Greensboro | 9 N.C. Greensboro Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 vs E. Tennessee St. 70-65 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Wofford 62-74 Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Citadel 76-61 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Western Carolina 74-70 Wed, Feb 12 vs VMI Sat, Feb 15 @ Furman Wed, Feb 19 @ E. Tennessee St. Sat, Feb 22 @ Mercer |
3 | 12 | 18% | 23% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| ChattanoogaChattan. | 9 Chattanooga Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 @ Western Carolina 84-60 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Mercer 93-84 Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Wofford 79-70 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Furman 85-72 Wed, Feb 12 @ Samford Sat, Feb 15 vs E. Tennessee St. Wed, Feb 19 vs Western Carolina Sat, Feb 22 vs Citadel |
3 | 12 | 33% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| E. Tennessee St. | 8 E. Tennessee St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 @ NC Greensb. 65-70 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Furman 72-69 Won Wed, Feb 05 @ VMI 62-55 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Samford 66-59 Wed, Feb 12 @ Western Carolina Sat, Feb 15 @ Chattan. Wed, Feb 19 vs NC Greensb. Sat, Feb 22 @ Wofford |
4 | 12 | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Wofford | 7 Wofford Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 vs VMI 67-74 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ NC Greensb. 74-62 Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs Chattan. 70-79 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Mercer 77-66 Wed, Feb 12 @ Citadel Sat, Feb 15 vs Samford Wed, Feb 19 @ VMI Sat, Feb 22 vs E. Tennessee St. |
5 | 12 | <1% | 3% | 11% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| VMI | 6 VMI Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 @ Wofford 74-67 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Western Carolina 80-76 Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs E. Tennessee St. 55-62 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Citadel 82-70 Wed, Feb 12 @ NC Greensb. Sat, Feb 15 @ Mercer Wed, Feb 19 vs Wofford Sat, Feb 22 @ Furman |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 40% | 41% | <1% | ^ |
| Furman | 6 Furman Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 vs Samford 72-70 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ E. Tennessee St. 69-72 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Western Carolina 84-75 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Chattan. 72-85 Wed, Feb 12 vs Mercer Sat, Feb 15 vs NC Greensb. Wed, Feb 19 @ Samford Sat, Feb 22 vs VMI |
6 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 28% | 36% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Mercer | 4 Mercer Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 vs Citadel 80-46 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Chattan. 84-93 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Samford 79-100 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Wofford 66-77 Wed, Feb 12 @ Furman Sat, Feb 15 vs VMI Wed, Feb 19 @ Citadel Sat, Feb 22 vs NC Greensb. |
8 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 39% | 48% | 7% | <1% |
| Western Carolina | 2 Western Carolina Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 vs Chattan. 60-84 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs VMI 76-80 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Furman 75-84 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ NC Greensb. 70-74 Wed, Feb 12 vs E. Tennessee St. Sat, Feb 15 vs Citadel Wed, Feb 19 @ Chattan. Sat, Feb 22 @ Samford |
10 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 85% | 8% |
| Citadel | 0 Citadel Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 @ Mercer 46-80 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Samford 58-83 Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs NC Greensb. 61-76 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ VMI 70-82 Wed, Feb 12 vs Wofford Sat, Feb 15 @ Western Carolina Wed, Feb 19 vs Mercer Sat, Feb 22 @ Chattan. |
12 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 92% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 6% | ||
| (9)Western Carolina | 2 | 10 | 54% |
| (10)Citadel | 0 | 12 | 40% |
| (6)VMI | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (5)Wofford | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (7)Furman | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (4)E. Tennessee St. | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Samford | 9 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)N.C. Greensboro | 9 | 3 | <1% |
| (3)ChattanoogaChattan. | 9 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | ChattanoogaChattan. (17‑8) |
99‑94 (OT) | Home | Wed Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | VMI (12‑13) |
70‑67 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 4:30 pm |
| 10 | E. Tennessee St. (15‑10) |
68‑70 | Home | Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Western Carolina (6‑17) |
82‑85 | Away | Sun Jan 12, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Samford (19‑6) |
74‑75 | Home | Wed Jan 15, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Wofford (13‑12) |
49‑69 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | N.C. Greensboro (16‑9) |
79‑78 | Away | Wed Jan 22, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Furman (18‑7) |
74‑79 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 4:30 pm |
| 13 | Citadel (5‑18) |
80‑46 | Home | Wed Jan 29, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | ChattanoogaChattan. (17‑8) |
84‑93 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 2:00 pm |
| 14 | Samford (19‑6) |
79‑100 | Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:30 pm |
| 14 | Wofford (13‑12) |
66‑77 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 15 | Furman (18‑7) |
Away | Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | VMI (12‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, TBD | |
| 16 | Citadel (5‑18) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | N.C. Greensboro (16‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | E. Tennessee St. (15‑10) |
Away | Wed Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Western Carolina (6‑17) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virginia-Lynchburg | ‑‑ | 125‑54 | Home | Thu Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | DePaul (11‑13) |
Big EastBig East | 64‑95 | Away | Mon Nov 11, 9:00 pm |
| 2 | Trinity Baptist | ‑‑ | 101‑43 | Home | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | South Alabama (16‑8) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 66‑75 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 4:00 pm |
| 3 | South Carolina (10‑13) |
SECSEC | 72‑84 | Away | Thu Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | JacksonvilleJack.ville (15‑9) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 90‑89 (OT) | Away | Mon Nov 25, 1:30 pm |
| 4 | Miami OH (18‑5) |
MACMAC | 72‑75 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 1:30 pm |
| 5 | West Georgia (4‑21) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 86‑72 | Home | Wed Dec 4, 11:00 am |
| 5 | Stetson (7‑18) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 89‑83 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 8, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Chicago St. (4‑21) |
NortheastNorth East | 75‑63 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | Queens U. (15‑10) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 66‑73 | Away | Wed Dec 18, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Winthrop (17‑9) |
Big SouthBig South | 97‑102 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 8 | Georgia St. (10‑15) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 71‑68 | Away | Sat Dec 28, 2:00 pm |