The Most Important Games for the Nicholls St. Colonels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nicholls St. Colonels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nicholls St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Nicholls St. (1‑2) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (1‑1) |
17 | Nicholls St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| McNeese (1‑1) vs Houston Christian (1‑0) |
1 | McNeese Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 48% | ||
| Lamar (2‑0) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (0‑2) |
1 | Lamar Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Incarnate Word (0‑3) vs SE Louisiana (0‑2) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 47% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (3‑0) vs East Texas A&M (2‑1) |
0 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 47% | ||