The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| Denver (7‑7) vs UMKC (2‑11) |
0 | Denver Wins | 24% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 26% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (7‑7) vs South Dakota St. (7‑7) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| North Dakota St. (10‑3) vs South Dakota (7‑7) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | 24% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 27% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| North Dakota (5‑9) vs Oral Roberts (5‑9) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 24% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||