The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota St. (10‑5) vs South Dakota (8‑7) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | 28% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 30% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota St. (7‑8) vs Nebraska Omaha (7‑8) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 29% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| North Dakota (6‑10) vs Oral Roberts (5‑10) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Denver (7‑8) vs UMKC (3‑11) |
0 | Denver Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 29% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||