The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| St. Thomas (13‑5) vs North Dakota (9‑11) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 48% | 32% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 35% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota (9‑9) vs UMKC (4‑14) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 43% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 44% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oral Roberts (5‑13) vs Denver (8‑11) |
0 | Oral Roberts Wins | 44% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 43% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota St. (14‑5) vs South Dakota St. (9‑9) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | 43% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | 49% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||