The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| Nebraska Omaha (13‑14) vs Denver (13‑14) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 6% | 61% | 29% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Denver Wins | 12% | 58% | 27% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. (20‑6) vs North Dakota (15‑13) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | 5% | 72% | 19% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 16% | 35% | 45% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota St. (11‑15) vs Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 8% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (19‑8) vs UMKC (4‑21) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMKC Wins | 3% | 51% | 35% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||