Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| North Dakota St. | 0i North Dakota St. Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 04 @ Weber St. 77-73 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Northern Colorado 82-70 Won Tue, Dec 10 @ Butler 71-68 Won Fri, Dec 13 vs Wis.-Stout 91-62 Sun, Dec 15 vs Western Michigan Mon, Dec 23 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Jan 02 vs St. Thomas Sat, Jan 04 vs Nebraska O. |
0 | 0 | 24% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| St. Thomas | 0 St. Thomas Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 24 @ Wis. Milwaukee 65-69 Won Mon, Dec 02 vs Chicago St. 98-76 Won Wed, Dec 04 @ Northern Colorado 87-75 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Montana 88-81 Fri, Dec 13 vs Western Michigan Sun, Dec 15 vs Crown (MN) Sat, Dec 21 @ Bowling Green Sun, Dec 29 @ UC Riverside |
0 | 0 | 21% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| South Dakota St. | 0 South Dakota St. Recent Games Won Mon, Dec 02 vs Dakota Wesleyan 78-62 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ Montana 67-71 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Eastern Washington 74-53 Lost Wed, Dec 11 @ Nevada 63-77 Fri, Dec 13 @ Colorado Thu, Dec 19 vs Chadron St. Sun, Dec 29 @ Alabama Thu, Jan 02 vs Denver |
0 | 0 | 21% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| South Dakota | 0 South Dakota Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 @ Nebraska 79-96 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs Idaho St. 94-80 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Northern Arizona 82-95 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs Wyoming 82-81 Sat, Dec 14 vs Western Illinois Thu, Dec 19 @ Utah Tech Sat, Dec 21 @ Santa Clara Thu, Jan 02 @ UMKC |
0 | 0 | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| North Dakota | 0 North Dakota Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 26 @ Bethune-Cookman 67-79 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ Eastern Washington 81-87 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Weber St. 80-75 Lost Wed, Dec 11 @ Utah Valley 57-80 Fri, Dec 13 @ Texas-SA Sun, Dec 15 vs Texas-SA Wed, Dec 18 vs Alabama Fri, Dec 20 vs South Dakota Mines |
0 | 0 | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% |
| Denver | 0 Denver Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 01 @ Portland 90-101 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs Sacram. St. 80-59 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Portland St. 68-67 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs UC-Colo. Springs 94-87 Sun, Dec 15 @ CSU Fullerton Tue, Dec 17 @ Cal Poly Sat, Dec 21 vs Northern Colorado Thu, Jan 02 @ South Dakota St. |
0 | 0 | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% |
| Nebraska Omaha | 0 Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Lamar 65-59 Lost Sat, Nov 30 vs Abilene Christian 55-71 Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs Montana St. 65-76 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Sacram. St. 70-60 Fri, Dec 13 @ Northern Iowa Sun, Dec 15 @ Iowa St. Sat, Dec 21 vs Cal Poly Sat, Dec 28 vs Mt. Marty |
0 | 0 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% |
| UMKC | 0 UMKC Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ SE Missouri St. 59-80 Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs Idaho 77-82 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Montana St. 62-74 Won Tue, Dec 10 @ Portland 69-64 Sat, Dec 14 vs Bowling Green Tue, Dec 17 @ Wichita St. Sat, Dec 21 vs E. Tennessee St. Thu, Jan 02 vs South Dakota |
0 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 21% |
| Oral Roberts | 0 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 25 vs Rogers St. 68-69 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Missouri St. 67-72 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs Northern Arizona 83-76 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Idaho St. 55-71 Mon, Dec 16 @ Texas Tech Sun, Dec 22 @ Oklahoma St. Mon, Dec 30 vs Tex. A&M-Texarkana Sat, Jan 04 @ UMKC |
0 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 32% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 93% | ||
| (9)Oral Roberts | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)UMKC | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (7)Nebraska Omaha | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (6)Denver | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (5)North Dakota | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (4)South Dakota | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (3)South Dakota St. | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (1)North Dakota St. | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | North Dakota St. (9‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | North Dakota (4‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm | |
| 10 | South Dakota St. (8‑4) |
Home | Wed Jan 8, 9:00 pm | |
| 10 | South Dakota (8‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Denver (6‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Nebraska Omaha (4‑7) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | UMKC (5‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Oral Roberts (3‑7) |
Home | Wed Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | North Dakota St. (9‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (8‑4) |
Away | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Denver (6‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (4‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | South Dakota (8‑4) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Oral Roberts (3‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota (4‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | UMKC (5‑7) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 96‑71 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm |
| 1 | Green Bay (2‑9) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑76 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Oklahoma St. (6‑2) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑80 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 3:00 pm |
| 2 | St. Norbert | ‑‑ | 102‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Arizona St. (8‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 66‑81 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Wofford (4‑6) |
SouthernSouthern | 73‑81 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Portland St. (4‑5) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 91‑65 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Wis. Milwaukee (7‑4) |
HorizonHorizon | 65‑69 | Away | Sun Nov 24, 2:30 pm |
| 5 | Chicago St. (0‑11) |
NortheastNorth East | 98‑76 | Home | Mon Dec 2, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Northern Colorado (6‑5) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑75 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Montana (7‑4) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑81 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Western Michigan (3‑5) |
MACMAC | Home | Fri Dec 13, 8:00 pm | |
| 6 | Crown (MN) | ‑‑ | Home | Sun Dec 15, 3:00 pm | |
| 7 | Bowling Green (4‑5) |
MACMAC | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm | |
| 8 | UC Riverside (6‑4) |
Big WestBig West | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |