Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| North Dakota St. | 10i North Dakota St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ O. Roberts 86-58 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ South Dakota 89-84 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Denver 71-78 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Nebraska O. 92-84 Sat, Feb 14 @ North Dakota Wed, Feb 18 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Feb 21 vs UMKC Thu, Feb 26 @ St. Thomas |
1 | 11 | 83% | 11% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| St. Thomas | 9 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 01 vs UMKC 99-64 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ South Dakota St. 77-62 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs O. Roberts 92-75 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ Nebraska O. 94-98 Sat, Feb 14 @ UMKC Sat, Feb 21 @ Denver Thu, Feb 26 vs North Dakota St. Sat, Feb 28 vs Nebraska O. |
3 | 12 | 9% | 60% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| North Dakota | 9 North Dakota Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 29 @ St. Thomas 81-80 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs Nebraska O. 76-73 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Denver 79-98 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ South Dakota 72-71 Sat, Feb 14 vs North Dakota St. Thu, Feb 19 vs UMKC Sat, Feb 21 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Feb 28 @ North Dakota St. |
3 | 12 | 8% | 28% | 59% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| South Dakota | 6 South Dakota Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs North Dakota St. 84-89 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ UMKC 82-75 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ South Dakota St. 68-67 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs North Dakota 71-72 Thu, Feb 19 @ Denver Sat, Feb 21 @ O. Roberts Wed, Feb 25 vs Nebraska O. Sat, Feb 28 vs South Dakota St. |
6 | 12 | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 29% | 21% | 11% | <1% | ^ |
| Nebraska Omaha | 6 Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Denver 84-82 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ North Dakota 73-76 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ North Dakota St. 84-92 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs St. Thomas 98-94 Sun, Feb 15 vs Denver Wed, Feb 18 vs O. Roberts Wed, Feb 25 @ South Dakota Sat, Feb 28 @ St. Thomas |
6 | 12 | X | 1% | 3% | 24% | 34% | 29% | 10% | <1% | ^ |
| Denver | 6 Denver Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Nebraska O. 82-84 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ North Dakota St. 78-71 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ North Dakota 98-79 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs South Dakota St. 79-61 Sun, Feb 15 @ Nebraska O. Thu, Feb 19 vs South Dakota Sat, Feb 21 vs St. Thomas Thu, Feb 26 @ O. Roberts |
6 | 12 | X | 1% | 4% | 28% | 28% | 31% | 9% | <1% | ^ |
| South Dakota St. | 4 South Dakota St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs O. Roberts 95-72 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs St. Thomas 62-77 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs South Dakota 67-68 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ Denver 61-79 Sat, Feb 14 @ O. Roberts Wed, Feb 18 vs North Dakota St. Sat, Feb 21 vs North Dakota Thu, Feb 26 @ UMKC |
7 | 11 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 68% | 2% | <1% |
| Oral Roberts | 1 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ South Dakota 69-77 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ South Dakota St. 72-95 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ St. Thomas 75-92 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs UMKC 69-60 Sat, Feb 14 vs South Dakota St. Wed, Feb 18 @ Nebraska O. Sat, Feb 21 vs South Dakota Thu, Feb 26 vs Denver |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 67% | 31% |
| UMKC | 1 UMKC Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs Denver 61-69 Lost Sun, Feb 01 @ St. Thomas 64-99 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs South Dakota 75-82 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ O. Roberts 60-69 Sat, Feb 14 vs St. Thomas Thu, Feb 19 @ North Dakota Sat, Feb 21 @ North Dakota St. Thu, Feb 26 vs South Dakota St. |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 31% | 69% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 100% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Denver (13‑14) |
92‑88 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota (14‑13) |
99‑86 | Home | Wed Jan 7, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
82‑71 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | North Dakota (15‑13) |
91‑80 | Away | Thu Jan 15, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | North Dakota St. (20‑6) |
65‑68 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | South Dakota St. (11‑15) |
74‑69 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | South Dakota (14‑13) |
90‑78 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 2:00 pm |
| 13 | North Dakota (15‑13) |
80‑81 | Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | UMKC (4‑21) |
99‑64 | Home | Sun Feb 1, 2:00 pm |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (11‑15) |
77‑62 | Away | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
92‑75 | Home | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (13‑14) |
94‑98 | Away | Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | UMKC (4‑21) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Denver (13‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota St. (20‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nebraska Omaha (13‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Mary's (22‑3) |
West CoastWest Coast | 58‑84 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Army (10‑16) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 83‑76 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Washington St. (11‑16) |
West CoastWest Coast | 71‑81 | Away | Mon Nov 10 |
| 2 | Green Bay (15‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 80‑61 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | SE Missouri St. (15‑11) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 84‑72 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | Northern Colorado (16‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 73‑72 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | CSU Fullerton (13‑13) |
Big WestBig West | 80‑88 | Away | Sat Nov 22, 5:30 pm |
| 3 | Portland (12‑15) |
West CoastWest Coast | 76‑66 | Away | Sun Nov 23, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Lawrence University | ‑‑ | 87‑52 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Montana St. (14‑11) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 74‑82 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Weber St. (13‑13) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑65 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Saint John's (MN) | ‑‑ | 0‑80 | Home | Thu Dec 11, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | N.C. Asheville (12‑13) |
Big SouthBig South | 80‑59 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | UC Riverside (8‑18) |
Big WestBig West | 92‑78 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 105‑59 | Home | Sun Dec 28, 2:00 pm |