The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (8‑2) vs UL Monroe (3‑8) |
268 | South Alabama Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (7‑5) vs Arkansas St. (6‑4) |
42 | Texas State Wins | 24% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 22% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (2‑9) vs Georgia Southern (8‑5) |
31 | Georgia St. Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 22% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑8) vs James Madison (7‑4) |
25 | Old Dominion Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (6‑5) vs Coastal Carolina (6‑5) |
13 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑9) vs Southern Miss (6‑5) |
12 | LA Lafayette Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy (5‑5) vs Marshall (7‑4) |
2 | Troy Wins | 24% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||