The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (4‑5) vs Old Dominion (3‑4) |
22 | South Alabama Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| James Madison (7‑0) vs Texas State (3‑5) |
2 | James Madison Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Troy (4‑4) vs Coastal Carolina (2‑5) |
1 | Troy Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Georgia Southern (0‑8) vs Southern Miss (4‑4) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (5‑2) vs UL Monroe (3‑3) |
0 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Arkansas St. (2‑6) vs Georgia St. (3‑4) |
0 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑3) vs Marshall (2‑5) |
0 | LA Lafayette Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||