PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Sunbelt Basketball - Week 14 of 16

South Alabama Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

South Alabama Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
South Alabama
(11‑13)

vs
Troy
(14‑11)
32 South Alabama Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 12% 14% 14% 14% 13% 12% 8% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Troy Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 17% 21% 20% 9% 1%
Arkansas St.
(10‑15)

vs
Texas State
(11‑14)
5 Arkansas St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 10% 12% 13% 16% 18% 13% 6% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Texas State Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 8% 11% 12% 14% 18% 17% 8% <1%
Marshall
(19‑6)

vs
Coastal Carolina
(10‑14)
5 Marshall Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 17% 15% 7% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Coastal Carolina Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17% 18% 9% <1%
James Madison
(17‑8)

vs
Georgia Southern
(12‑13)
3 James Madison Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 17% 15% 7% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Georgia Southern Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 15% 19% 17% 7% <1%
UL Monroe
(11‑14)

vs
Appalachian St.App.St.
(13‑12)
1 UL Monroe Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 16% 18% 15% 7% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Appalachian St.App.St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 12% 12% 14% 17% 16% 7% <1%
Old Dominion
(14‑10)

vs
Georgia St.
(10‑14)
1 Old Dominion Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 16% 19% 16% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Georgia St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 14% 16% 15% 10% 1%
Southern Miss
(21‑4)

vs
LA Lafayette
(20‑4)
0 Southern Miss Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 17% 16% 7% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
LA Lafayette Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 15% 7% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament