Where are the South Alabama Jaguars going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The South Alabama standings table presents the probabilities of the Jaguars winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| LA Lafayette | 8i LA Lafayette Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Arkansas St. 80-71 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ TX St. 60-51 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Troy 72-57 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Georgia Southern 94-87 Thu, Feb 02 vs TX St. Sat, Feb 04 vs Marshall Thu, Feb 09 @ Southern Miss Sat, Feb 11 @ Troy |
2 | 10 | 43% | 27% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss | 8 Southern Miss Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 vs South Alabama 76-72 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs James Madison 83-70 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Arkansas St. 73-57 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs TX St. 67-58 Thu, Feb 02 @ Troy Sat, Feb 04 @ Georgia St. Thu, Feb 09 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 11 vs UL Monroe |
2 | 10 | 37% | 33% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall | 7 Marshall Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 @ TX St. 81-73 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Arkansas St. 87-78 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs UL Monroe 82-86 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Georgia St. 103-65 Thu, Feb 02 @ App.St. Sat, Feb 04 @ LA Lafayette Thu, Feb 09 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 11 @ Georgia St. |
3 | 10 | 17% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Appalachian St.App.St. | 6 Appalachian St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Coast.Car. 84-93 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Old Dominion 72-58 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Georgia St. 71-59 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Arkansas St. 63-51 Thu, Feb 02 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 04 vs James Madison Thu, Feb 09 @ UL Monroe Sat, Feb 11 @ South Alabama |
4 | 10 | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| James Madison | 6 James Madison Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Troy 89-87 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Southern Miss 70-83 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Coast.Car. 75-69 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs UL Monroe 58-45 Thu, Feb 02 @ Old Dominion Sat, Feb 04 @ App.St. Thu, Feb 09 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 11 @ Coast.Car. |
4 | 10 | 2% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UL Monroe | 6 UL Monroe Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Georgia Southern 72-59 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Troy 53-77 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Marshall 86-82 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ James Madison 45-58 Thu, Feb 02 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 04 vs South Alabama Thu, Feb 09 vs App.St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Southern Miss |
4 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Troy | 5 Troy Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs James Madison 87-89 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs UL Monroe 77-53 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ LA Lafayette 57-72 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ South Alabama 60-77 Thu, Feb 02 vs Southern Miss Sat, Feb 04 vs TX St. Thu, Feb 09 vs South Alabama Sat, Feb 11 vs LA Lafayette |
5 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Old Dominion | 5 Old Dominion Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 vs Georgia St. 70-58 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs App.St. 58-72 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ South Alabama 66-64 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Coast.Car. 60-59 Thu, Feb 02 vs James Madison Sat, Feb 04 vs Georgia Southern Thu, Feb 09 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 11 @ TX St. |
5 | 10 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 5 Georgia Southern Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs UL Monroe 59-72 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Georgia St. 58-52 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ TX St. 67-70 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ LA Lafayette 87-94 Thu, Feb 02 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 04 @ Old Dominion Thu, Feb 09 vs James Madison Sat, Feb 11 vs Arkansas St. |
5 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 vs South Alabama 85-81 Lost Mon, Jan 23 vs Chicago State 70-74 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ James Madison 69-75 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Old Dominion 59-60 Thu, Feb 02 @ UL Monroe Sat, Feb 04 @ Arkansas St. Thu, Feb 09 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 11 vs James Madison |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Texas State | 4 Texas State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs Marshall 73-81 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs LA Lafayette 51-60 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Georgia Southern 70-67 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Southern Miss 58-67 Thu, Feb 02 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 04 @ Troy Thu, Feb 09 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 11 vs Old Dominion |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 1% |
| South Alabama | 3 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Southern Miss 72-76 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Coast.Car. 81-85 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Old Dominion 64-66 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Troy 77-60 Thu, Feb 02 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 04 @ UL Monroe Thu, Feb 09 @ Troy Sat, Feb 11 vs App.St. |
7 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 29% | 24% | 10% |
| Georgia St. | 2 Georgia St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Old Dominion 58-70 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Georgia Southern 52-58 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ App.St. 59-71 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Marshall 65-103 Thu, Feb 02 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 04 vs Southern Miss Thu, Feb 09 vs Old Dominion Sat, Feb 11 vs Marshall |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 30% |
| Arkansas St. | 1 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs LA Lafayette 71-80 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Marshall 78-87 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Southern Miss 57-73 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ App.St. 51-63 Thu, Feb 02 vs South Alabama Sat, Feb 04 vs Coast.Car. Thu, Feb 09 @ TX St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Georgia Southern |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 56% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 22% | ||
| (13)Georgia St. | 2 | 8 | 32% |
| (14)Arkansas St. | 1 | 9 | 25% |
| (10)Coastal Carolina | 4 | 6 | 9% |
| (11)Texas State | 4 | 6 | 6% |
| (9)Georgia Southern | 5 | 5 | 3% |
| (8)Old Dominion | 5 | 5 | 1% |
| (7)Troy | 5 | 5 | 1% |
| (4)Appalachian St.App.St. | 6 | 4 | 1% |
| (5)James Madison | 6 | 4 | <1% |
| (6)UL Monroe | 6 | 4 | <1% |
| (3)Marshall | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)LA Lafayette | 8 | 2 | <1% |
| (2)Southern Miss | 8 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Georgia Southern (12‑10) |
50‑64 | Away | Thu Dec 29, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Georgia St. (8‑13) |
58‑68 | Away | Sat Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Arkansas St. (9‑14) |
63‑45 | Home | Thu Jan 5, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Texas State (10‑11) |
58‑64 | Home | Sat Jan 7, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | James Madison (15‑7) |
63‑62 | Home | Thu Jan 12, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | LA Lafayette (18‑4) |
76‑79 | Home | Sat Jan 14, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Southern Miss (19‑4) |
72‑76 | Away | Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Coastal Carolina (10‑12) |
81‑85 (OT) | Away | Sat Jan 21, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | Old Dominion (13‑9) |
64‑66 | Home | Thu Jan 26, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Troy (13‑9) |
77‑60 | Home | Sat Jan 28, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Arkansas St. (9‑14) |
Away | Thu Feb 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | UL Monroe (10‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 14 | Troy (13‑9) |
Away | Thu Feb 9, 8:15 pm | |
| 14 | Appalachian St.App.St. (13‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 11, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | Southern Miss (19‑4) |
Home | Thu Feb 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | UL Monroe (10‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 18, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | Texas State (10‑11) |
Away | Wed Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | LA Lafayette (18‑4) |
Away | Fri Feb 24, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MOBILE | ‑‑ | 97‑59 | Home | Wed Nov 9 |
| 1 | New Mexico (17‑3) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 74‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 11 |
| 2 | Alabama (18‑3) |
SECSEC | 55‑65 | Home | Tue Nov 15 |
| 2 | Oklahoma (12‑9) |
Big 12Big 12 | 60‑64 | Away | Fri Nov 18 |
| 3 | Evansville (3‑19) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 78‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 25 |
| 3 | Towson (16‑7) |
Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. | 60‑62 | Away | Sat Nov 26 |
| 3 | Robert Morris (10‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 84‑70 | Away | Sun Nov 27 |
| 4 | Florida Atlantic (21‑1) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 59‑84 | Away | Wed Nov 30 |
| 4 | UAB (15‑7) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 68‑76 | Away | Sun Dec 4 |
| 6 | Alabama A&M (7‑12) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 78‑71 | Away | Mon Dec 12, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | SPRING HILL | ‑‑ | 82‑53 | Home | Mon Dec 19, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (10‑12) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | Home | Wed Dec 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Hartford (5‑17) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Mon Feb 13, 8:00 pm |