How far is your team going to proceed into the knockout round? The UEFA Champions League Knockout Round Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different knockout rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
| Record | UCL Winner | Finals | Semi Finals | Quarter Finals | Round of 16 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Group Grp | W | L | T | Pts | |||||
| Manchester City | Group GG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 26% | 43% | 62% | 82% | 100% |
| Bayern Munich | Group CC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 23% | 35% | 46% | 59% | 100% |
| Paris SG | Group HH | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12% | 21% | 30% | 41% | 100% |
| Liverpool | Group AA | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10% | 20% | 35% | 56% | 100% |
| Real Madrid | Group FF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6% | 13% | 26% | 44% | 100% |
| Tottenham | Group DD | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4% | 11% | 27% | 58% | 100% |
| Chelsea | Group EE | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4% | 11% | 27% | 57% | 100% |
| Inter Milan | Group CC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4% | 10% | 26% | 56% | 100% |
| Napoli | Group AA | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2% | 8% | 26% | 71% | 100% |
| Benfica | Group HH | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2% | 6% | 22% | 68% | 100% |
| FC Porto | Group BB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2% | 6% | 18% | 44% | 100% |
| Dortmund | Group GG | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 100% |
| AC Milan | Group EE | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2% | 6% | 17% | 42% | 100% |
| RB Leipzig | Group FF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 18% | 100% |
| Club Brugge | Group BB | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 32% | 100% |
| Frankfurt | Group DD | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 29% | 100% |
| Barcelona | Group CC | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Sporting CP | Group DD | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Ajax | Group AA | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| FC Salzburg | Group EE | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Marseille | Group DD | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Group FF | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Atletico Madrid | Group BB | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Leverkusen | Group BB | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Sevilla FC | Group GG | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Dinamo | Group EE | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| FC Copenhagen | Group GG | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Juventus | Group HH | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Maccabi Haifa | Group HH | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Celtic | Group FF | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Rangers | Group AA | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Viktoria Plzen | Group CC | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X |