How far is your team going to proceed into the knockout round? The UEFA Champions League Knockout Round Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different knockout rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
| Record | UCL Winner | Finals | Semi Finals | Quarter Finals | Round of 16 | Round 1 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | T | Pts | ||||||
| Bayern Munich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16% | 27% | 45% | 68% | 95% | >99% |
| Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15% | 25% | 39% | 57% | 81% | 97% |
| Liverpool | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12% | 23% | 42% | 70% | >99% | 100% |
| Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11% | 20% | 33% | 53% | 80% | >99% |
| Inter Milan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9% | 19% | 36% | 63% | 98% | >99% |
| Dortmund | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8% | 17% | 34% | 62% | 97% | >99% |
| Paris SG | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8% | 14% | 24% | 39% | 63% | 88% |
| Barcelona | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5% | 12% | 26% | 52% | 90% | >99% |
| Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4% | 11% | 24% | 52% | 93% | >99% |
| Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 38% | 75% | 99% |
| Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 74% | >99% |
| Arsenal | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2% | 5% | 14% | 39% | 86% | >99% |
| Benfica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 4% | 11% | 29% | 66% | 99% |
| Juventus | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 24% | 53% | 88% |
| AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 2% | 7% | 23% | 65% | 99% |
| Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 47% | 92% |
| Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 48% | 99% |
| Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 39% | 82% |
| Lille | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 49% | 99% |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 27% | 69% |
| Aston Villa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 62% | >99% |
| Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 61% |
| Monaco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 33% | 98% |
| Celtic | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 92% |
| Shakhtar | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% |
| Brest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | >99% |
| RS Belgrade | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% |
| Stuttgart | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% |
| Sparta Prague | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% |
| Girona | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
| Sturm Graz | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
| Young Boys | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
| Salzburg | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bologna | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| RB Leipzig | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Slovan | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |