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Sun May 29 10:15 am

UEFA Champions League - Regular Season Complete

UCL Knockout Round Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the knockout round? The UEFA Champions League Knockout Round Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different knockout rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.

UEFA Champions League Knockout Round Probabilities
Record UCL Winner Finals Semi Finals Quarter Finals Round of 16
Team Group Grp W L T Pts
Real Madrid Group DD 5 1 0 15 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Liverpool Group BB 6 0 0 18 X 100% ^ ^ ^
Manchester City Group AA 4 2 0 12 X X 100% ^ ^
Villarreal Group FF 3 2 1 10 X X 100% ^ ^
Bayern Munich Group EE 6 0 0 18 X X X 100% ^
Chelsea Group HH 4 1 1 13 X X X 100% ^
Benfica Group EE 2 2 2 8 X X X 100% ^
Atletico Madrid Group BB 2 3 1 7 X X X 100% ^
Ajax Group CC 6 0 0 18 X X X X 100%
Juventus Group HH 5 1 0 15 X X X X 100%
Paris SG Group AA 3 1 2 11 X X X X 100%
Inter Milan Group DD 3 2 1 10 X X X X 100%
Manchester United Group FF 3 1 2 11 X X X X 100%
FC Salzburg Group GG 3 2 1 10 X X X X 100%
Lille Group GG 3 1 2 11 X X X X 100%
Sporting CP Group CC 3 3 0 9 X X X X 100%
Borussia Dortmund Group CC 3 3 0 9 X X X X X
Barcelona Group EE 2 3 1 7 X X X X X
RB Leipzig Group AA 2 3 1 7 X X X X X
Sheriff Group DD 2 3 1 7 X X X X X
Atalanta Group FF 1 2 3 6 X X X X X
Sevilla FC Group GG 1 2 3 6 X X X X X
FC Porto Group BB 1 3 2 5 X X X X X
VfL Wolfsburg Group GG 1 3 2 5 X X X X X
Young Boys Group FF 1 3 2 5 X X X X X
Zenit Group HH 1 3 2 5 X X X X X
AC Milan Group BB 1 4 1 4 X X X X X
Club Brugge Group AA 1 4 1 4 X X X X X
Shakhtar Donetsk Group DD 0 4 2 2 X X X X X
Dynamo Kiev Group EE 0 5 1 1 X X X X X
Malmo Group HH 0 5 1 1 X X X X X
Besiktas Group CC 0 6 0 0 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next knockout round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this knockout round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this knockout round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this knockout round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot