The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (3‑6) vs Washington St. (8‑2) |
32 | Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 27% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 28% | ||
| St. Mary's (9‑1) vs Pacific (5‑6) |
4 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 27% | ||
| Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 25% | 29% | ||
| Pepperdine (5‑6) vs Santa Clara (6‑5) |
2 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 27% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 27% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (4‑4) vs San Francisco (8‑2) |
1 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 27% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 27% | ||