The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (7‑5) vs Washington St. (5‑7) |
63 | Portland Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 12% | 10% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| San Diego (5‑6) vs Pacific (8‑4) |
7 | San Diego Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 12% | 10% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ||
| San Francisco (7‑4) vs Seattle (10‑2) |
4 | San Francisco Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 12% | 10% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| St. Mary's (10‑1) vs Loyola Marymount (8‑4) |
1 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 12% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ||
| Gonzaga (11‑0) vs Pepperdine (5‑8) |
1 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | 12% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ||
| Oregon St. (6‑6) vs Santa Clara (8‑4) |
1 | Oregon St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 12% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ||