The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (7‑8) vs St. Mary's (13‑1) |
34 | Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | 21% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Gonzaga (14‑0) vs Seattle (12‑3) |
5 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 21% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Pepperdine (5‑10) vs Santa Clara (10‑4) |
3 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 21% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | ||
| San Diego (6‑8) vs San Francisco (9‑5) |
2 | San Diego Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 21% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Pacific (9‑6) vs Oregon St. (8‑7) |
1 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | 21% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (10‑5) vs Washington St. (6‑8) |
0 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 21% | 25% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | ||