The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Portland (11‑12) vs Gonzaga (17‑4) |
35 | Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 22% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 2% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 22% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 2% | ||
| St. Mary's (17‑4) vs BYU (14‑9) |
6 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 2% | ||
| BYU Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 24% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 2% | ||
| San Diego (10‑12) vs San Francisco (13‑8) |
5 | San Diego Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 2% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Pepperdine (7‑14) vs Loyola Marymount (15‑7) |
4 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 2% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 2% | ||
| Pacific (9‑13) vs Santa Clara (16‑6) |
3 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 2% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 2% | ||