Where are the Portland Pilots going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Portland standings table presents the probabilities of the Pilots winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| St. Mary's | 7i St. Mary's Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 12 vs Loyola Marymount 76-62 Won Sat, Jan 14 @ San Francisco 78-61 Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Pepperd. 73-44 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Santa Clara 77-58 Sat, Jan 28 @ BYU Thu, Feb 02 vs San Francisco Sat, Feb 04 vs Gonzaga Thu, Feb 09 @ Loyola Marymount |
0 | 7 | 63% | 32% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Gonzaga | 7 Gonzaga Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Portland 115-75 Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs Loyola Marymount 67-68 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Pacific 99-90 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Portland 82-67 Thu, Feb 02 vs Santa Clara Sat, Feb 04 @ St. Mary's Thu, Feb 09 vs San Francisco Sat, Feb 11 vs BYU |
1 | 8 | 35% | 51% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Loyola Marymount | 5 Loyola Marymount Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 12 @ St. Mary's 62-76 Won Sat, Jan 14 vs San Diego 98-84 Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Gonzaga 68-67 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Portland 79-60 Sat, Jan 28 vs Pepperd. Thu, Feb 02 @ BYU Sat, Feb 04 @ San Diego Thu, Feb 09 vs St. Mary's |
3 | 8 | 2% | 13% | 41% | 26% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Santa Clara | 4 Santa Clara Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 @ Pacific 92-81 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs BYU 83-76 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ St. Mary's 58-77 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Pacific 89-95 Thu, Feb 02 @ Gonzaga Sat, Feb 04 @ San Francisco Thu, Feb 09 vs San Diego Sat, Feb 11 vs Loyola Marymount |
4 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 30% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| BYU | 4 BYU Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 12 vs Gonzaga 74-75 Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Pepperd. 91-81 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Santa Clara 76-83 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ San Francisco 74-82 Sat, Jan 28 vs St. Mary's Thu, Feb 02 vs Loyola Marymount Sat, Feb 04 vs Pacific Thu, Feb 09 @ Pepperd. |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Pacific | 4 Pacific Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 vs Santa Clara 81-92 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ San Francisco 57-78 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Gonzaga 90-99 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Santa Clara 95-89 Thu, Feb 02 vs Pepperd. Sat, Feb 04 @ BYU Thu, Feb 09 @ Portland Sat, Feb 11 vs San Diego |
4 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 1% |
| San Diego | 3 San Diego Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 12 vs Pepperd. 92-89 Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ Loyola Marymount 84-98 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Portland 83-88 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Pepperd. 87-78 Sat, Jan 28 vs San Francisco Thu, Feb 02 vs Portland Sat, Feb 04 vs Loyola Marymount Thu, Feb 09 @ Santa Clara |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 46% | 2% |
| San Francisco | 3 San Francisco Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 12 @ Portland 87-92 Lost Sat, Jan 14 vs St. Mary's 61-78 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs Pacific 78-57 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs BYU 82-74 Sat, Jan 28 @ San Diego Thu, Feb 02 @ St. Mary's Sat, Feb 04 vs Santa Clara Thu, Feb 09 @ Gonzaga |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 2% |
| Portland | 3 Portland Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 vs San Diego 88-83 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Pepperd. 91-76 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Loyola Marymount 60-79 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Gonzaga 67-82 Thu, Feb 02 @ San Diego Sat, Feb 04 @ Pepperd. Thu, Feb 09 vs Pacific Sat, Feb 11 vs St. Mary's |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 3% |
| Pepperdine | 0 Pepperdine Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ BYU 81-91 Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs St. Mary's 44-73 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Portland 76-91 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs San Diego 78-87 Sat, Jan 28 @ Loyola Marymount Thu, Feb 02 @ Pacific Sat, Feb 04 vs Portland Thu, Feb 09 vs BYU |
8 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 33% | ||
| (7)San Diego | 3 | 5 | 26% |
| (10)Pepperdine | 0 | 8 | 22% |
| (6)Pacific | 4 | 4 | 8% |
| (8)San Francisco | 3 | 5 | 7% |
| (5)BYU | 4 | 4 | 3% |
| (4)Santa Clara | 4 | 4 | 1% |
| (3)Loyola Marymount | 5 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)St. Mary's | 7 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)Gonzaga | 7 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Loyola Marymount (15‑7) |
72‑92 | Home | Thu Dec 29, 9:00 pm |
| 8 | BYU (14‑9) |
58‑71 | Away | Sat Dec 31, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | St. Mary's (17‑4) |
43‑85 | Away | Sat Jan 7, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | San Francisco (13‑8) |
92‑87 | Home | Thu Jan 12, 11:00 pm |
| 10 | Gonzaga (18‑4) |
75‑115 | Away | Sat Jan 14, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | San Diego (10‑12) |
88‑83 | Home | Thu Jan 19, 9:00 pm |
| 11 | Pepperdine (7‑14) |
91‑76 | Home | Sat Jan 21, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Loyola Marymount (15‑7) |
60‑79 | Away | Thu Jan 26, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | Gonzaga (18‑4) |
67‑82 | Home | Sat Jan 28, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | San Diego (10‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 2, 10:00 pm | |
| 13 | Pepperdine (7‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 4, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Pacific (10‑13) |
Home | Thu Feb 9, 9:00 pm | |
| 14 | St. Mary's (17‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 11, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | Santa Clara (16‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 18, 8:30 pm | |
| 16 | San Francisco (13‑8) |
Away | Thu Feb 23, 11:00 pm | |
| 16 | Pacific (10‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 25, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEWIS & CLARK | ‑‑ | 89‑62 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | Florida A&M (3‑15) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 91‑54 | Home | Wed Nov 9 |
| 1 | Portland St. (9‑12) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 98‑91 | Home | Fri Nov 11 |
| 2 | Kent State (16‑4) |
MACMAC | 65‑77 | Away | Mon Nov 14 |
| 2 | Air Force (12‑10) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 64‑51 | Away | Thu Nov 17 |
| 2 | Seattle (15‑5) |
WACWAC | 68‑80 | Home | Sat Nov 19 |
| 3 | North Carolina (15‑6) |
ACCACC | 81‑89 | Home | Thu Nov 24 |
| 3 | Villanova (10‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 83‑71 | Away | Fri Nov 25 |
| 3 | Michigan St. (14‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 77‑78 | Away | Sun Nov 27 |
| 4 | MULTNOMAH | ‑‑ | 100‑79 | Home | Wed Nov 30 |
| 4 | North Dakota (7‑15) |
SummitSummit | 90‑69 | Home | Sat Dec 3 |
| 5 | North Dakota St. (9‑13) |
SummitSummit | 62‑67 | Home | Mon Dec 5 |
| 5 | New Orleans (6‑14) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 100‑61 | Home | Sat Dec 10, 8:30 pm |
| 6 | Oregon (12‑9) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 56‑78 | Away | Sat Dec 17, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | UC Riverside (15‑7) |
Big WestBig West | 65‑76 | Away | Thu Dec 22, 5:00 pm |