The San Diego Toreros What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how San Diego plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 29% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 46% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 22% | 58% | 3% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 46% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 23% | 60% | 2% |
|
Best Case Scenario St. Mary's beats BYU San Diego beats San Francisco Pepperdine beats Loyola Marymount |
Worst Case Scenario BYU beats St. Mary's San Francisco beats San Diego Loyola Marymount beats Pepperdine |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 11 | 5 | 2% | 41% | 56% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 10 | 6 | <1% | 5% | 62% | 30% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 9 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 19% | 52% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 8 | 8 | X | <1% | 1% | 17% | 42% | 32% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 7 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 32% | 42% | 16% | 1% | <1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 6 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 24% | 49% | 24% | <1% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 5 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 26% | 72% | 1% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 4 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 93% | 5% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 3 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 86% | 14% |