The Aces What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Aces play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 30 | 13 | X | 4% | 96% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 29 | 13 | X | 3% | 94% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 29 | 14 | X | X | 84% | 14% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 4% | 96% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 3% | 94% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 84% | 14% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Aces beats Sparks |
Worst Case Scenario Sparks beats Aces |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 31 | 13 | X | 6% | 94% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 30 | 14 | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 29 | 15 | X | X | 43% | 49% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |