The Aces What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Aces play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 28 | 13 | X | 9% | 85% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 27 | 13 | X | 8% | 83% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 27 | 14 | X | 1% | 72% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 9% | 85% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 8% | 83% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 1% | 72% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Aces beats Storm |
Worst Case Scenario Storm beats Aces |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 31 | 13 | X | 15% | 85% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 30 | 14 | X | 2% | 91% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 29 | 15 | X | <1% | 52% | 41% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 28 | 16 | X | X | 8% | 33% | 39% | 18% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 27 | 17 | X | X | <1% | 3% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 4% | ^ |