PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►WNBA►WNBA Playoff Picture►Fire Playoff Picture►Fire What If?
Sun May 24 9:00 pm

WNBA - Week 4 of 21

Fire What If?

The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fire What If?

Next Game - Liberty (3‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 3 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 46%
Current Standings 3 3 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 50%
Lose Next Game 3 4 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 50%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 46%
Current Standings 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 50%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 50%
Best Case Scenario
   Fire beats Liberty
 Worst Case Scenario
   Liberty beats Fire
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
38 of 38 100% 41 3 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 38 92% 38 6 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 38 87% 36 8 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 38 84% 35 9 77% 22% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 38 82% 34 10 60% 35% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
30 of 38 79% 33 11 41% 44% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
29 of 38 76% 32 12 24% 46% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
28 of 38 74% 31 13 12% 37% 37% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
27 of 38 71% 30 14 4% 25% 39% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 38 68% 29 15 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 38 66% 28 16 <1% 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% <1% <1%
24 of 38 63% 27 17 <1% 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 5% <1% <1%
23 of 38 61% 26 18 <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2% <1%
22 of 38 58% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
21 of 38 55% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 29% 36% 18% 4%
20 of 38 53% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 36% 31% 13%
19 of 38 50% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 38% 30%
18 of 38 47% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 32% 55%
17 of 38 45% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
16 of 38 42% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
15 of 38 39% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
10 of 38 26% 13 31 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 38 13% 8 36 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 38 0% 3 41 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs