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Fri Jun 12 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 6 of 21

Liberty What If?

The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liberty What If?

Next Game - Mystics (4‑6)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 4 9% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 16%
Current Standings 9 4 9% 12% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 20%
Lose Next Game 9 5 7% 10% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 22%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 9% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 19%
Current Standings 9% 12% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 20%
Worst Case Scenario 9% 11% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 20%
Best Case Scenario
   Storm beats Valkyries
 Worst Case Scenario
   Valkyries beats Storm
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
31 of 31 100% 40 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 39 5 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 36 8 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 35 9 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 34 10 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 33 11 52% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 32 12 33% 47% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 31 13 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 31 68% 30 14 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 31 65% 29 15 3% 18% 40% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 31 61% 28 16 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 31 58% 27 17 <1% 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 26 18 <1% <1% 5% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% <1%
15 of 31 48% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
14 of 31 45% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 35% 30% 14%
13 of 31 42% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 36% 35%
12 of 31 39% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 63%
11 of 31 35% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
10 of 31 32% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
5 of 31 16% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs