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Wed May 13 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 2 of 21

Lynx What If?

The Lynx What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lynx play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lynx What If?

Next Game - Wings (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 1 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 43%
Current Standings 1 1 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 45%
Lose Next Game 1 2 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 46%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 43%
Current Standings 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 45%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 46%
Best Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Wings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Wings beats Lynx
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
42 of 42 100% 43 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 42 95% 41 3 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
37 of 42 88% 38 6 89% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 of 42 86% 37 7 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 42 83% 36 8 62% 35% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
34 of 42 81% 35 9 44% 45% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
33 of 42 79% 34 10 27% 48% 22% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
32 of 42 76% 33 11 14% 42% 35% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
31 of 42 74% 32 12 6% 30% 41% 21% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^
30 of 42 71% 31 13 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^
29 of 42 69% 30 14 <1% 7% 28% 40% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 42 67% 29 15 <1% 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1% <1% <1%
27 of 42 64% 28 16 <1% 1% 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% <1% <1%
26 of 42 62% 27 17 <1% <1% 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1% <1%
25 of 42 60% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% <1%
24 of 42 57% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 35% 34% 13% 2%
23 of 42 55% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
22 of 42 52% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 34% 35% 15%
21 of 42 50% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 24% 38% 31%
20 of 42 48% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 33% 51%
19 of 42 45% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 70%
18 of 42 43% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 86%
17 of 42 40% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
15 of 42 36% 16 28 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 42 24% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 42 12% 6 38 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 42 0% 1 43 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs