The Mercury What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mercury play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 22 | 14 | <1% | 9% | 30% | 31% | 28% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 21 | 14 | <1% | 7% | 27% | 31% | 30% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 21 | 15 | X | 2% | 18% | 33% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 9% | 30% | 31% | 28% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 7% | 27% | 31% | 30% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 2% | 18% | 33% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mercury beats Valkyries |
Worst Case Scenario Valkyries beats Mercury |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 30 | 14 | <1% | 57% | 43% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 29 | 15 | X | 23% | 64% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 28 | 16 | X | 4% | 49% | 40% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 27 | 17 | X | <1% | 17% | 54% | 28% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | 3% | 36% | 60% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 75% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 52% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 23 | 21 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 14% | 41% | 35% | 9% | <1% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 41% | 14% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 30% | 65% |