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Sat May 16 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 2 of 21

Storm What If?

The Storm What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Storm play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Storm What If?

Next Game - Fever (1‑2)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 2 3% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 54%
Current Standings 1 2 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 55%
Lose Next Game 1 3 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 57%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 3% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 54%
Current Standings 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 55%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 57%
Best Case Scenario
   Storm beats Fever
 Worst Case Scenario
   Fever beats Storm
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
41 of 41 100% 42 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 41 98% 41 3 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
37 of 41 90% 38 6 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 of 41 88% 37 7 84% 15% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 41 85% 36 8 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
34 of 41 83% 35 9 50% 42% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
33 of 41 80% 34 10 32% 48% 19% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
32 of 41 78% 33 11 17% 44% 31% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
31 of 41 76% 32 12 8% 32% 41% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
30 of 41 73% 31 13 3% 19% 39% 31% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^
29 of 41 71% 30 14 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 41 68% 29 15 <1% 3% 18% 38% 32% 9% 1% <1% <1%
27 of 41 66% 28 16 <1% 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4% <1% <1%
26 of 41 63% 27 17 <1% <1% 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% <1%
25 of 41 61% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% <1%
24 of 41 59% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
23 of 41 56% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6%
22 of 41 54% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 34% 34% 15%
21 of 41 51% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 38% 30%
20 of 41 49% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 35% 50%
19 of 41 46% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 71%
18 of 41 44% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
17 of 41 41% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
15 of 41 37% 16 28 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 41 24% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 41 12% 6 38 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 41 0% 1 43 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs