The Storm What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Storm play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
Win Next Game | 20 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 30% | 28% | 23% | 12% |
Current Standings | 19 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 26% | 24% | 22% |
Lose Next Game | 19 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 25% | 27% | 29% |
Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 27% | 27% | 23% | 19% |
Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 26% | 24% | 22% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 24% | 29% | 28% |
Best Case Scenario Mercury beats Valkyries Aces beats Mystics Lynx beats Fever |
Worst Case Scenario Valkyries beats Mercury Mystics beats Aces Fever beats Lynx |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | 3% | 22% | 49% | 27% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 64% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 7 | 71% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 62% | 29% | 3% | <1% |
4 of 7 | 57% | 23 | 21 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 49% | 24% | 2% |
3 of 7 | 43% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 25% | 50% | 23% |
2 of 7 | 29% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 29% | 69% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 96% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 19 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |