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Sun May 24 9:00 pm

WNBA - Week 4 of 21

Tempo What If?

The Tempo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tempo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tempo What If?

Next Game - Sky (3‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 4 3% 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 52%
Current Standings 3 4 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 54%
Lose Next Game 3 5 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 56%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 3% 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 52%
Current Standings 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 54%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 56%
Best Case Scenario
   Tempo beats Sky
 Worst Case Scenario
   Sky beats Tempo
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
37 of 37 100% 40 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 37 95% 38 6 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 37 89% 36 8 91% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 37 86% 35 9 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 37 84% 34 10 63% 33% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
30 of 37 81% 33 11 43% 43% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
29 of 37 78% 32 12 25% 45% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
28 of 37 76% 31 13 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
27 of 37 73% 30 14 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 37 70% 29 15 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 37 68% 28 16 <1% 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% <1% <1%
24 of 37 65% 27 17 <1% 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4% <1% <1%
23 of 37 62% 26 18 <1% <1% 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% <1%
22 of 37 59% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
21 of 37 57% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4%
20 of 37 54% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 12%
19 of 37 51% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 37% 31%
18 of 37 49% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 32% 55%
17 of 37 46% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
16 of 37 43% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 92%
15 of 37 41% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
10 of 37 27% 13 31 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 37 14% 8 36 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 37 0% 3 41 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs