The Valkyries What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Valkyries play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
Win Next Game | 19 | 17 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 45% | 28% | 15% | 6% |
Current Standings | 18 | 17 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 35% | 28% | 21% | 13% |
Lose Next Game | 18 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 32% | 28% | 24% | 16% |
Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 6% |
Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 35% | 28% | 21% | 13% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 25% | 28% | 26% | 20% |
Best Case Scenario Valkyries beats Mercury Aces beats Mystics Lynx beats Fever |
Worst Case Scenario Mercury beats Valkyries Mystics beats Aces Fever beats Lynx |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 27 | 17 | X | <1% | 7% | 32% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 39% | 53% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 82% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 82% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 23 | 21 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 50% | 43% | 7% | <1% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | 50% | 34% | 4% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 17% | 54% | 29% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 27% | 72% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 19 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 18 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |