PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jun 14 2:15 am

World Cup - Week 1 of 3

Colombia What If?

The Colombia What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Colombia plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Colombia What If?

Next Game - Uzbekistan (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Gi
Goals
GDi
Goal Differential
Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Win Next Game 1 0 0 1 1 3 46% 40% 13% 2%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 0 0 36% 35% 19% 9%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 -1 0 12% 18% 36% 35%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Best Case Scenario 42% 45% 11% 2%
Current Standings 36% 35% 19% 9%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 20% 25% 44%
Best Case Scenario
   Portugal beats Congo DR
   Colombia beats Uzbekistan
Worst Case Scenario
   Congo DR beats Portugal
   Uzbekistan beats Colombia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T G GD Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
3 of 3 100% 3 0 0 3 3 9 100% ^ ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 2 1 0 2 1 6 45% 52% 3% ^
1 of 3 33% 1 2 0 1 -1 3 X 6% 57% 37%
0 of 3 0% 0 3 0 0 -3 0 X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes knockout round qualifing spot
  • **  denotes possible knockout round qualifing spot