PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jun 27 10:00 am

World Cup - Week 3 of 3

World Cup Tournament Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the tournament? The World Cup Tournament Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different knockout rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.

World Cup Tournament Probabilities
Record World Cup Winner Finals Semi Finals Quarter Finals Round of 16 Round of 32
Team Group Grp W L T Pts
Argentina JJ 2 0 0 6 19% 33% 51% 74% 93% 100%
France II 3 0 0 9 14% 23% 39% 58% 84% 100%
Spain HH 2 0 1 7 12% 20% 34% 48% 76% 100%
England LL 1 0 1 4 8% 16% 29% 45% 69% 100%
Brazil CC 2 0 1 7 6% 12% 24% 44% 60% 100%
Portugal KK 1 0 1 4 5% 10% 19% 37% 67% 100%
Morocco CC 2 0 1 7 4% 9% 17% 37% 50% 100%
NetherlandsNetherlnds FF 2 0 1 7 4% 9% 17% 37% 50% 100%
Belgium GG 1 0 2 5 4% 8% 17% 38% 63% 100%
Germany EE 2 1 0 6 4% 8% 17% 30% 75% 100%
Colombia KK 2 0 0 6 3% 7% 15% 34% 66% 100%
USA DD 2 1 0 6 2% 6% 15% 39% 79% 100%
Mexico AA 3 0 0 9 2% 5% 13% 26% 60% 100%
Croatia LL 1 1 0 3 2% 5% 12% 24% 48% 93%
Japan FF 1 0 2 5 2% 4% 11% 25% 40% 100%
SwitzerlandSwitzerlnd BB 2 0 1 7 2% 4% 10% 26% 57% 100%
Senegal II 1 2 0 3 2% 4% 10% 23% 41% 100%
Norway II 2 1 0 6 1% 2% 6% 17% 50% 100%
Iran GG 0 0 3 3 1% 2% 6% 17% 40% 91%
Ecuador EE 1 1 1 4 1% 2% 6% 13% 40% 100%
Egypt GG 1 0 2 5 1% 2% 5% 12% 50% 100%
Australia DD 1 1 1 4 1% 2% 5% 12% 50% 100%
Canada BB 1 1 1 4 <1% 2% 6% 19% 66% 100%
Ivory Coast EE 2 1 0 6 <1% 1% 4% 14% 50% 100%
Austria JJ 1 1 0 3 <1% 1% 3% 8% 22% 81%
Algeria JJ 1 1 0 3 <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 59%
South Korea AA 1 2 0 3 <1% 1% 2% 6% 13% 39%
Paraguay DD 1 1 1 4 <1% <1% 2% 6% 25% 100%
Sweden FF 1 1 1 4 <1% <1% 2% 6% 16% 100%
South Africa AA 1 1 1 4 <1% <1% 1% 6% 34% 100%
Ghana LL 1 0 1 4 <1% <1% 1% 3% 16% 100%
Congo DR KK 0 1 1 1 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 37%
Bosnia BB 1 1 1 4 <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 100%
Cape Verde HH 0 0 3 3 <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 100%
Scotland CC 1 2 0 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Turkey DD 1 2 0 3 X X X X X X
Saudi Arabia HH 0 1 2 2 X X X X X X
Uruguay HH 0 1 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Curacao EE 0 2 1 1 X X X X X X
Czechia AA 0 2 1 1 X X X X X X
New Zealand GG 0 2 1 1 X X X X X X
Qatar BB 0 2 1 1 X X X X X X
Haiti CC 0 3 0 0 X X X X X X
Iraq II 0 3 0 0 X X X X X X
Jordan JJ 0 2 0 0 X X X X X X
Panama LL 0 2 0 0 X X X X X X
Tunisia FF 0 3 0 0 X X X X X X
Uzbekistan KK 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this knockoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this knockoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot