PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jun 15 12:15 am

World Cup - Week 1 of 3

Netherlands What If?

The Netherlands What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Netherlands plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Netherlands What If?

Next Game - Sweden (1‑0)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Gi
Goals
GDi
Goal Differential
Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Win Next Game 1 0 1 3 1 4 65% 31% 4% ^
Current Standings 0 0 1 2 0 1 43% 34% 17% 5%
Lose Next Game 0 1 1 2 -1 1 X 23% 62% 15%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Best Case Scenario 82% 12% 6% ^
Current Standings 43% 34% 17% 5%
Worst Case Scenario X 8% 78% 13%
Best Case Scenario
   Netherlands beats Sweden
   Tunisia beats Japan
Worst Case Scenario
   Sweden beats Netherlands
   Japan beats Tunisia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T G GD Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
2 of 2 100% 2 0 1 4 2 7 87% 13% ^ ^
1 of 2 50% 1 1 1 3 0 4 1% 49% 50% ^
0 of 2 0% 0 2 1 2 -2 1 X X 3% 97%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes knockout round qualifing spot
  • **  denotes possible knockout round qualifing spot