The Qatar What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Qatar plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Gi Goals |
GDi Goal Differential |
Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 48% | 29% | 21% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19% | 23% | 30% | 28% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1% | 12% | 39% | 48% |
| Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 56% | 35% | 9% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 19% | 23% | 30% | 28% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 5% | 52% | 43% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bosnia beats Switzerland Qatar beats Canada |
Worst Case Scenario Switzerland beats Bosnia Canada beats Qatar |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 83% | 17% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3% | 29% | 65% | 3% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | X | X | 2% | 98% |