PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jun 14 2:15 am

World Cup - Week 1 of 3

South Africa What If?

The South Africa What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how South Africa plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

South Africa What If?

Next Game - Czechia (0‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Gi
Goals
GDi
Goal Differential
Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Win Next Game 1 1 0 1 -1 3 6% 23% 70% 2%
Current Standings 0 1 0 0 -2 0 2% 12% 33% 54%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 0 -3 0 X 1% 7% 92%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Best Case Scenario X 36% 64% ^
Current Standings 2% 12% 33% 54%
Worst Case Scenario X X X 100%
Best Case Scenario
   South Africa beats Czechia
   Mexico beats South Korea
Worst Case Scenario
   Czechia beats South Africa
   South Korea beats Mexico
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T G GD Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
2 of 2 100% 2 1 0 2 0 6 24% 65% 10% ^
1 of 2 50% 1 2 0 1 -2 3 X 3% 62% 35%
0 of 2 0% 0 3 0 0 -4 0 X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes knockout round qualifing spot
  • **  denotes possible knockout round qualifing spot