The USA What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how USA plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Gi Goals |
GDi Goal Differential |
Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 88% | 10% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 55% | 31% | 12% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2% | 65% | 26% | 7% |
| Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 88% | 10% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 55% | 31% | 12% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 65% | 26% | 7% |
|
Best Case Scenario USA beats Australia |
Worst Case Scenario Australia beats USA |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 34% | 63% | 3% | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | X | 9% | 69% | 22% |