The Most Important Games for the Hawai'i Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawai'i Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Hawai'i Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (13‑9) vs UCSB (15‑7) |
8 | UC Davis Wins | 31% | 35% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 26% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑15) vs UC Irvine (15‑7) |
7 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 35% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 27% | 36% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cal Poly (9‑14) vs CSU Northridge (13‑10) |
7 | Cal Poly Wins | 29% | 37% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 28% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Long Beach St. (8‑15) vs UC San Diego (15‑8) |
6 | Long Beach St. Wins | 29% | 36% | 20% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC Riverside (8‑15) vs CSU Fullerton (10‑13) |
0 | UC Riverside Wins | 28% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 28% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||