The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (39‑44) vs Nationals (41‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 82% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑40) vs Rays (46‑33) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 78% | ||
| Angels (34‑49) vs Athletics (40‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Rockies (32‑50) vs Twins (39‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Royals (34‑49) vs White Sox (42‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Mariners (42‑41) vs Guardians (42‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Tigers (35‑47) vs Astros (40‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Red Sox (34‑46) vs Yankees (48‑33) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Rangers (40‑42) vs Blue Jays (39‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (39‑44) vs Nationals (41‑42) |
4 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Guardians (42‑40) vs Mariners (42‑41) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Red Sox (34‑46) vs Yankees (48‑33) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Blue Jays (39‑43) vs Rangers (40‑42) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Royals (34‑49) vs White Sox (42‑38) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Rays (46‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑40) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Tigers (35‑47) vs Astros (40‑44) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Rockies (32‑50) vs Twins (39‑44) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Angels (34‑49) vs Athletics (40‑42) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 78% | ||