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Mon Jul 20 8:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (50‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 50 51 1% 1% <1% 5% 10% 12% 71%
Current Standings 49 51 1% 1% <1% 4% 9% 11% 76%
Lose Next Game 49 52 <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 10% 79%


Current Series - Red Sox (50‑48) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 52 51 1% 1% <1% 6% 13% 15% 64%
Current Standings 49 51 1% 1% <1% 4% 9% 11% 76%
Red Sox Sweeps 49 54 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 84%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
62 of 62 100% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 62 97% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
50 of 62 81% 99 63 97% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 62 79% 98 64 95% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 62 77% 97 65 91% 2% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 62 76% 96 66 84% 2% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 62 74% 95 67 77% 4% <1% 19% 1% <1% <1%
45 of 62 73% 94 68 66% 7% <1% 25% 2% <1% <1%
44 of 62 71% 93 69 52% 9% <1% 35% 4% <1% <1%
43 of 62 69% 92 70 38% 12% <1% 43% 8% <1% <1%
42 of 62 68% 91 71 25% 12% 1% 49% 13% <1% <1%
41 of 62 66% 90 72 14% 13% 1% 50% 21% 1% <1%
40 of 62 65% 89 73 7% 10% 2% 48% 31% 3% <1%
39 of 62 63% 88 74 3% 6% 2% 40% 41% 8% <1%
38 of 62 61% 87 75 1% 4% 2% 29% 47% 15% 1%
37 of 62 60% 86 76 <1% 2% 1% 19% 49% 24% 4%
36 of 62 58% 85 77 <1% 1% 1% 11% 42% 35% 10%
35 of 62 56% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 5% 31% 40% 23%
34 of 62 55% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 17% 39% 43%
33 of 62 53% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 29% 63%
32 of 62 52% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 79%
31 of 62 50% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
30 of 62 48% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
20 of 62 32% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 62 16% 59 103 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 62 0% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs