The Most Important Games for the Earthquakes are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Earthquakes final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Earthquakes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Earthquakes Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑6‑3) vs Minnesota United (6‑6‑7) |
38 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 3% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 1% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 11% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑6‑3) vs Galaxy (5‑8‑7) |
36 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 3% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | 1% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Orlando City SC (6‑10‑3) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑6‑4) |
5 | Orlando City SC Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (7‑6‑6) vs Sounders (7‑8‑3) |
5 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Whitecaps (11‑3‑4) vs Dynamo (10‑6‑2) |
4 | Whitecaps Wins | 2% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 3% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Austin FC (4‑10‑5) vs Sounders (7‑8‑3) |
4 | Austin FC Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Sporting KC (4‑13‑2) vs St. Louis City SC (8‑6‑5) |
4 | Sporting KC Wins | 2% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Whitecaps (11‑3‑4) vs FC Dallas (8‑5‑6) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | 2% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 3% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑12‑3) vs Minnesota United (6‑6‑7) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Austin FC (4‑10‑5) vs Union (5‑10‑4) |
2 | Austin FC Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Union Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Timbers (7‑9‑3) vs LAFC (10‑6‑4) |
1 | Timbers Wins | 2% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 2% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| LAFC (10‑6‑4) vs Rapids (8‑10‑1) |
1 | LAFC Wins | 2% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 2% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Timbers (7‑9‑3) vs San Diego FC (6‑7‑6) |
1 | Timbers Wins | 2% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 2% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| CF Montréal (4‑10‑5) vs Galaxy (5‑8‑7) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| FC Dallas (8‑5‑6) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑6‑4) |
0 | FC Dallas Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Rapids (8‑10‑1) vs San Diego FC (6‑7‑6) |
0 | Rapids Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑12‑3) vs Sporting KC (4‑13‑2) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Dynamo (10‑6‑2) vs St. Louis City SC (8‑6‑5) |
0 | Dynamo Wins | 2% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 2% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||