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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Sky What If?

The Sky What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sky play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sky What If?

Next Game - Sun (2‑15)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 89%
Current Standings 4 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Lose Next Game 4 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 93%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 89%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 93%
Best Case Scenario
   Sky beats Sun
 Worst Case Scenario
   Sun beats Sky
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
29 of 29 100% 33 11 42% 48% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
28 of 29 97% 32 12 25% 52% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 31 13 14% 45% 33% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 30 14 6% 30% 42% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^
25 of 29 86% 29 15 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 29 83% 28 16 <1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 29 79% 27 17 <1% 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% <1% <1%
22 of 29 76% 26 18 <1% <1% 3% 15% 36% 32% 12% 2% <1%
21 of 29 72% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
20 of 29 69% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6%
19 of 29 66% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 37% 23%
18 of 29 62% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 32% 51%
17 of 29 59% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
16 of 29 55% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 93%
15 of 29 52% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
10 of 29 34% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 29 17% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 29 0% 4 40 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs